{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bb4e07ec-5085-4934-bc37-bfe6d6014922", "symbol": "GGG", "name": "Graco Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 64.464, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 12.606, "architecture_energy": 24.324, "architecture_maturity": 78.288, "architecture_confidence": 52.57, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.55, "rotation_up": 47.98, "upward_expansion": 31.68, "deceleration": 44.42, "rotation_down": 22.08, "downward_expansion": 53.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 79.73396, 77.781334, 77.464421, 79.359449 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 83.54, "trend_reference": 82.216256, "distance_from_trend": 0.016101, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 81.886811, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.020189, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.011018, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.096384, "excess_performance": -0.222009, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016101, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022425, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.020189, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075055, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.10011, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084552, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.096384, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.876314, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6005629, "relative_activity": 0.92235, "balance": 0.876314, "dry_up": 1.136427, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040301, "annualized_volatility": 0.205617, "from_high_reference": -0.124053, "from_low_reference": 0.15669 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.216256, "fair_value_reference": 81.886811, "structural_low": 72.223336, 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"activity_lines": [ 76.118536, 75.656732, 76.969369, 79.470758 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 79.38, "volume": 8042245, "typical_volume": 6529185.9, "trend": 82.277491, "fair_value": 81.832744, "relative_strength": -11.816595, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.110577, "energy": 20.250728, "activity_lines": [ 77.341746, 76.374942, 76.999876, 79.277997 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 83.54, "volume": 6005629, "typical_volume": 6511227.95, "trend": 82.216256, "fair_value": 81.886811, "relative_strength": -10.011018, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 12.606098, "energy": 24.323888, "activity_lines": [ 79.73396, 77.781334, 77.464421, 79.359449 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }