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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.163, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.443, "architecture_energy": 51.05, "architecture_maturity": 50.808, "architecture_confidence": 72.33, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.78, "rotation_up": 48.69, "upward_expansion": 78.64, "deceleration": 68.83, "rotation_down": 27.07, "downward_expansion": 7.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 13064.648698, 13017.561008, 12889.879418, 12664.943137 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 13244.0, "trend_reference": 12398.091471, "distance_from_trend": 0.068229, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10773.303248, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.229335, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.029633, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.115076, "excess_performance": 0.169743, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068229, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017543, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.229335, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004281, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.050296, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0999, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.115076, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.803009, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19862, "relative_activity": 0.901929, "balance": 7.803009, "dry_up": 0.525425, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021548, "annualized_volatility": 0.124956, "from_high_reference": -0.00972, "from_low_reference": 0.160065 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12398.091471, "fair_value_reference": 10773.303248, 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.471883, "energy": 54.598606, "activity_lines": [ 13001.820052, 12961.98505, 12786.029394, 12569.286979 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12956.0, "volume": 9442, "typical_volume": 22689.35, "trend": 12372.144466, "fair_value": 10736.722309, "relative_strength": 2.690212, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.709567, "energy": 47.840811, "activity_lines": [ 12996.022721, 12964.191832, 12826.938253, 12608.694393 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13244.0, "volume": 19862, "typical_volume": 22021.7, "trend": 12398.091471, "fair_value": 10773.303248, "relative_strength": 5.029633, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.443042, "energy": 51.049852, "activity_lines": [ 13064.648698, 13017.561008, 12889.879418, 12664.943137 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }