{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bb62864e-b6fa-495e-bfdc-891a58217856",
    "symbol": "FNDB",
    "name": "SCHWAB FUNDAMENTAL U.S. BROAD MARKET ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.207,
    "architecture_energy": 76.029,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.905,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.123,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.73,
        "rotation_up": 70.44,
        "upward_expansion": 92.11,
        "deceleration": 47.78,
        "rotation_down": 23.56,
        "downward_expansion": 14.11
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        31.101,
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        30.360249,
        29.761201
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 31.575,
    "trend_reference": 29.050483,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.086901,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.445137,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.346761,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.988011,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.111758,
    "excess_performance": -0.013867,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086901,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051987,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.346761,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02534,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01988,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002621,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111758,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.522636,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1391765,
      "relative_activity": 1.818881,
      "balance": 3.522636,
      "dry_up": 1.318739,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01781,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.094424,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00548,
      "from_low_reference": 0.319327
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 29.050483,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.445137,
      "structural_low": 26.56,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.013343,
        "positive_rate": 0.684211,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.684211,
        "median_excess_return": 9.7e-05,
        "regime_survival": 0.763158,
        "best_return": 0.055764,
        "worst_return": -0.073411,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.007602,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.035039,
        "sufficient": false
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 715733.6,
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        "fair_value": 23.201449,
        "relative_strength": 3.845897,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.845256,
        "energy": 74.943514,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.81,
        "volume": 885386,
        "typical_volume": 721479.7,
        "trend": 28.767396,
        "fair_value": 23.279318,
        "relative_strength": 4.436871,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.435981,
        "energy": 70.794674,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.724667,
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          29.445924
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.99,
        "volume": 958387,
        "typical_volume": 736280.1,
        "trend": 28.910811,
        "fair_value": 23.360356,
        "relative_strength": 3.747355,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.447691,
        "energy": 69.373335,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.836,
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          30.160941,
          29.589317
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.575,
        "volume": 1391765,
        "typical_volume": 765176.4,
        "trend": 29.050483,
        "fair_value": 23.445137,
        "relative_strength": 1.988011,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.206931,
        "energy": 76.02941,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.101,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}