{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bb71efca-46b3-413f-8849-7f44119834b4", "symbol": "000552", "name": "Gansu Energy Chemical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 58.753, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -5.921, "architecture_energy": 10.398, "architecture_maturity": 19.889, "architecture_confidence": 67.843, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.0, "rotation_up": 36.53, "upward_expansion": 19.49, "deceleration": 51.37, "rotation_down": 20.23, "downward_expansion": 30.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.536, 2.492545, 2.568571, 2.601376 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.54, "trend_reference": 2.600333, "distance_from_trend": -0.023202, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.71597, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.064791, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.278052, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.024194, "excess_performance": 0.016794, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.023202, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004119, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.064791, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076451, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.042781, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064431, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.024194, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.172514, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 344191419, "relative_activity": 1.080366, "balance": 1.172514, "dry_up": 1.064517, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078134, "annualized_volatility": 0.307036, "from_high_reference": -0.161716, "from_low_reference": 0.118943 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.600333, "fair_value_reference": 2.71597, "structural_low": 2.27, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.003657, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.019355, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.184466, "worst_return": -0.101504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.022176, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.056986, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.209571, "worst_return": -0.143603, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.071006, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.05112, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.237619, "worst_return": -0.168965, "sufficient": true }, { 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2.491273, 2.578286, 2.604774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.54, "volume": 344191419, "typical_volume": 318587787.0, "trend": 2.600333, "fair_value": 2.71597, "relative_strength": -4.278052, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.921379, "energy": 10.397525, "activity_lines": [ 2.536, 2.492545, 2.568571, 2.601376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }