{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bb73df96-9eb3-4e46-b3d8-84f2459f0d50", "symbol": "INGG34", "name": "ING Groep N.V.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 95.243, "architecture_energy": 97.644, "architecture_maturity": 37.419, "architecture_confidence": 79.102, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 88.4, "upward_expansion": 99.97, "deceleration": 39.01, "rotation_down": 9.95, "downward_expansion": 21.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 172.304757, 167.582084, 160.601005, 155.275981 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 179.529999, "trend_reference": 150.519224, "distance_from_trend": 0.192738, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 104.010003, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.726084, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 20.149841, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.169258, "excess_performance": 0.226307, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.192738, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05047, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.726084, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184734, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.201498, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.261597, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.169258, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 26.886957, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 151, "relative_activity": 0.458409, "balance": 26.886957, "dry_up": 0.346843, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02649, "annualized_volatility": 0.259045, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.453311 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 150.519224, "fair_value_reference": 104.010003, "structural_low": 127.171272, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.026434, "positive_rate": 0.648649, "directional_follow_through": 0.648649, "median_excess_return": 0.019324, "regime_survival": 0.810811, "best_return": 0.186031, "worst_return": -0.183981, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.072771, "positive_rate": 0.642857, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": 0.03441, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.277004, "worst_return": -0.396985, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.086959, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.095574, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.371511, "worst_return": -0.319289, "sufficient": true }, { 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"direction": 75.540477, "energy": 87.632982, "activity_lines": [ 162.018221, 158.818548, 152.2475, 149.56362 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 163.154099, "volume": 86, "typical_volume": 328.2, "trend": 148.257259, "fair_value": 101.833523, "relative_strength": 8.915099, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.904717, "energy": 86.671002, "activity_lines": [ 163.073362, 160.09596, 153.805657, 150.550611 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 163.945389, "volume": 40, "typical_volume": 320.95, "trend": 148.611475, "fair_value": 102.51517, "relative_strength": 9.238437, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.737639, "energy": 87.702849, "activity_lines": [ 163.605328, 161.220804, 155.350491, 151.562749 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 176.081793, "volume": 180, "typical_volume": 326.95, "trend": 149.445224, "fair_value": 103.256776, "relative_strength": 14.516216, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.110851, "energy": 96.505812, "activity_lines": [ 167.911068, 164.279623, 157.91609, 153.335027 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 179.529999, "volume": 151, "typical_volume": 329.4, "trend": 150.519224, "fair_value": 104.010003, "relative_strength": 20.149841, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.243018, "energy": 97.644444, "activity_lines": [ 172.304757, 167.582084, 160.601005, 155.275981 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }