{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bb789444-f854-44f1-89a7-40227bdf73b3", "symbol": "AWX", "name": "AEM Holdings Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.069, "architecture_energy": 24.42, "architecture_maturity": 81.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.929, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.16, "rotation_up": 22.95, "upward_expansion": 56.85, "deceleration": 91.14, "rotation_down": 30.53, "downward_expansion": 20.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.834, 9.223455, 9.015825, 7.925212 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.15, "trend_reference": 6.281952, "distance_from_trend": 0.456554, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.787187, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.28288, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 85.085539, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 4.064244, "excess_performance": 3.909409, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.456554, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.702301, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.28288, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067401, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.850855, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.141505, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 4.064244, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.878237, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19555000, "relative_activity": 0.751229, "balance": 1.878237, "dry_up": 0.991805, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.140227, "annualized_volatility": 0.804999, "from_high_reference": -0.169691, "from_low_reference": 5.500907 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.281952, "fair_value_reference": 2.787187, "structural_low": 1.836732, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.022727, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.017813, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.183006, "worst_return": -0.180451, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.04793, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.01387, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.715976, "worst_return": -0.18543, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.032951, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.068701, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.895425, "worst_return": -0.363636, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"typical_volume": 26030670.0, "trend": 6.281952, "fair_value": 2.787187, "relative_strength": 85.085539, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.068649, "energy": 24.419767, "activity_lines": [ 8.834, 9.223455, 9.015825, 7.925212 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }