{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bb7d1172-1eec-4307-ad6e-0620f7845c33",
    "symbol": "MKA",
    "name": "Mkango Resources Ltd.",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -37.384,
    "architecture_energy": 23.796,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.987,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.951,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.85,
        "rotation_up": 21.51,
        "upward_expansion": 10.99,
        "deceleration": 57.33,
        "rotation_down": 45.81,
        "downward_expansion": 69.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.410833,
        0.409918,
        0.426193,
        0.437782
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.445,
    "trend_reference": 0.462733,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.038323,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.225803,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.970748,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.31445,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.172862,
    "excess_performance": -0.224098,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038323,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040039,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.970748,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.270074,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123144,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.135108,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.172862,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.749102,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6214855,
      "relative_activity": 0.812685,
      "balance": 1.749102,
      "dry_up": 0.725161,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.128349,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.661905,
      "from_high_reference": -0.479532,
      "from_low_reference": 0.459016
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.462733,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.225803,
      "structural_low": 0.33,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.011905,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.518519,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04297,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.333333,
        "worst_return": -0.271186,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.041096,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": -0.097624,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.052632,
        "worst_return": -0.387097,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.164706,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.187946,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.393617,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.307317,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.34152,
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        "best_return": 1.450704,
        "worst_return": -0.452128,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-01-26",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
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        "return": 0.797101,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "relative_strength": -21.539926,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.395,
        "volume": 9931148,
        "typical_volume": 7563908.3,
        "trend": 0.462233,
        "fair_value": 0.223719,
        "relative_strength": -21.872588,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.837444,
        "energy": 47.064804,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.3955,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.445,
        "volume": 6214855,
        "typical_volume": 7647307.45,
        "trend": 0.462733,
        "fair_value": 0.225803,
        "relative_strength": -12.31445,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.383897,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}