{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bb97b3f0-4ba5-4763-b983-a2be09e79b54", "symbol": "688711", "name": "Macmic Science&Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.407, "architecture_energy": 59.792, "architecture_maturity": 21.266, "architecture_confidence": 65.486, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.17, "rotation_up": 8.04, "upward_expansion": 8.99, "deceleration": 44.91, "rotation_down": 72.63, "downward_expansion": 79.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.477333, 28.637818, 30.388952, 30.414989 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.68, "trend_reference": 30.785, "distance_from_trend": -0.165828, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.088278, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.066079, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.815197, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.165421, "excess_performance": -0.122217, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.165828, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06226, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.066079, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06172, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.108152, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131195, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.165421, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.515059, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42731733, "relative_activity": 0.9777, "balance": 1.515059, "dry_up": 1.122867, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.200216, "annualized_volatility": 0.675085, "from_high_reference": -0.405556, "from_low_reference": 0.261916 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.785, "fair_value_reference": 24.088278, "structural_low": 20.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a 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32.453095, 31.899828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.68, "volume": 53091903, "typical_volume": 42535390.5, "trend": 31.199, "fair_value": 24.358899, "relative_strength": -18.954098, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.650517, "energy": 33.470319, "activity_lines": [ 28.283333, 31.836364, 31.645619, 31.339871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.17, "volume": 38183909, "typical_volume": 42846110.5, "trend": 30.986666, "fair_value": 24.201837, "relative_strength": -21.049773, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.304911, "energy": 54.914062, "activity_lines": [ 25.220667, 29.814545, 30.830714, 30.757355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.68, "volume": 42731733, "typical_volume": 43706394.6, "trend": 30.785, "fair_value": 24.088278, "relative_strength": -10.815197, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.406504, "energy": 59.792028, "activity_lines": [ 24.477333, 28.637818, 30.388952, 30.414989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }