{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bb9b2f17-282b-48e5-8b81-9640403ad9b9", "symbol": "RIOT34", "name": "Rio Tinto Group", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 12.417, "architecture_energy": 11.15, "architecture_maturity": 18.733, "architecture_confidence": 64.363, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.76, "rotation_up": 25.8, "upward_expansion": 26.6, "deceleration": 71.35, "rotation_down": 43.61, "downward_expansion": 30.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 488.954671, 488.198551, 497.761338, 495.060564 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 515.75, "trend_reference": 489.641404, "distance_from_trend": 0.053322, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 353.987563, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.456972, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 14.554958, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.090413, "excess_performance": 0.147461, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.053322, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070074, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.456972, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086181, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.14555, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012644, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.090413, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.005202, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19967, "relative_activity": 2.333725, "balance": 2.005202, "dry_up": 0.786246, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057368, "annualized_volatility": 0.289205, "from_high_reference": -0.082524, "from_low_reference": 0.620699 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 489.641404, "fair_value_reference": 353.987563, "structural_low": 432.0, "invalidation": "A 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"label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.096525, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.034557, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.053728, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.10733, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 252.230927, "volume": 1808, "typical_volume": 9095.95, "trend": 275.689184, "fair_value": 270.936681, "relative_strength": -11.154042, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.365745, "energy": 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{ "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 463.890015, "volume": 4588, "typical_volume": 11104.35, "trend": 482.470438, "fair_value": 348.233454, "relative_strength": 1.017434, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.185125, "energy": 21.368157, "activity_lines": [ 486.139339, 501.924369, 501.556189, 495.114282 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 463.200012, "volume": 3908, "typical_volume": 10518.25, "trend": 483.778723, "fair_value": 349.507313, "relative_strength": 3.086111, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.183501, "energy": 36.938608, "activity_lines": [ 474.788009, 493.302188, 498.464053, 493.871028 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 465.76001, "volume": 163, "typical_volume": 9828.85, "trend": 484.676601, "fair_value": 350.828394, "relative_strength": 3.321395, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.49309, "energy": 45.364083, "activity_lines": [ 469.076677, 486.089462, 495.774291, 492.708531 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 492.0, "volume": 2870, "typical_volume": 9076.8, "trend": 486.616885, "fair_value": 352.321092, "relative_strength": 6.407996, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.99889, "energy": 35.942594, "activity_lines": [ 475.328007, 484.731461, 495.696624, 493.181008 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 515.75, "volume": 19967, "typical_volume": 8555.85, "trend": 489.641404, "fair_value": 353.987563, "relative_strength": 14.554958, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.417276, "energy": 11.150044, "activity_lines": [ 488.954671, 488.198551, 497.761338, 495.060564 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }