{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bba46d36-bb8b-4c4b-ba3f-18e75272e46b",
    "symbol": "PRUS",
    "name": "Invesco RAFI US Fundamental Value UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 93.394,
    "architecture_energy": 76.866,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.614,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.52,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.03,
        "rotation_up": 66.33,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 57.95,
        "rotation_down": 28.76,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        44.872667,
        44.579945,
        43.888863,
        42.951185
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 45.584999,
    "trend_reference": 41.822269,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.08997,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.820484,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.347852,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.846888,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.128157,
    "excess_performance": 0.076921,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08997,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055092,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.347852,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027373,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058469,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021067,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128157,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.067484,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1382,
      "relative_activity": 0.139043,
      "balance": 5.067484,
      "dry_up": 0.735633,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.010718,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.092764,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000439,
      "from_low_reference": 0.317239
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.822269,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.820484,
      "structural_low": 37.970001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.011364,
        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002639,
        "regime_survival": 0.74359,
        "best_return": 0.056163,
        "worst_return": -0.074328,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.004922,
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        "worst_return": -0.040762,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.081468,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029345,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": 0.037397,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.003599,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-11-17",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": 6.818389,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 40.769642,
        "fair_value": 33.240433,
        "relative_strength": 5.956678,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 9702.45,
        "trend": 40.974519,
        "fair_value": 33.356905,
        "relative_strength": 7.815339,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.279767,
        "energy": 86.397602,
        "activity_lines": [
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          42.047686
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 9771.1,
        "trend": 41.190706,
        "fair_value": 33.471287,
        "relative_strength": 6.875925,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.723047,
        "energy": 89.964419,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.336667,
          44.117974,
          43.143867,
          42.277394
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.560001,
        "volume": 6835,
        "typical_volume": 9817.5,
        "trend": 41.400915,
        "fair_value": 33.584169,
        "relative_strength": 5.424335,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.088091,
        "energy": 79.236239,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.451667,
          44.242449,
          43.387238,
          42.494768
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.5,
        "volume": 14839,
        "typical_volume": 10284.25,
        "trend": 41.609622,
        "fair_value": 33.69805,
        "relative_strength": 3.830457,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.178189,
        "energy": 72.772452,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.500334,
          44.321197,
          43.599825,
          42.694709
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.584999,
        "volume": 1382,
        "typical_volume": 9939.4,
        "trend": 41.822269,
        "fair_value": 33.820484,
        "relative_strength": 5.846888,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.394236,
        "energy": 76.865554,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.872667,
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          42.951185
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}