{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bbabc11e-b934-433c-baf5-4c5f74ec0b1d", "symbol": "FASTAT", "name": "Aktiebolaget Fastator (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.896, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -31.319, "architecture_energy": 18.715, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.255, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.69, "rotation_up": 28.95, "upward_expansion": 20.05, "deceleration": 42.72, "rotation_down": 31.81, "downward_expansion": 58.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.261667, 0.255491, 0.259367, 0.280822 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.289, "trend_reference": 0.3198, "distance_from_trend": -0.09631, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.313308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.779945, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -51.548555, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.134731, "excess_performance": -0.196225, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.09631, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.324652, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.779945, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06253, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.515486, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164203, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.134731, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.397006, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4339840, "relative_activity": 1.082406, "balance": 1.397006, "dry_up": 0.842798, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.175832, "annualized_volatility": 0.739659, "from_high_reference": -0.793571, "from_low_reference": 0.479017 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.3198, "fair_value_reference": 1.313308, "structural_low": 0.1954, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 45, "median_return": -0.04875, "positive_rate": 0.288889, "directional_follow_through": 0.688889, "median_excess_return": -0.065849, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 1.363871, "worst_return": -0.548175, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.135, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.202396, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.291005, "worst_return": -0.51395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.346449, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.493178, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.408915, "worst_return": -0.661401, "sufficient": true }, { 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.358412, "energy": 35.315581, "activity_lines": [ 0.244233, 0.244273, 0.260895, 0.289318 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.264, "volume": 3260276, "typical_volume": 4175184.1, "trend": 0.3354, "fair_value": 1.339404, "relative_strength": -56.167844, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.836027, "energy": 28.477259, "activity_lines": [ 0.249267, 0.247473, 0.25864, 0.283815 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.289, "volume": 4339840, "typical_volume": 4009439.1, "trend": 0.3198, "fair_value": 1.313308, "relative_strength": -51.548555, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.319095, "energy": 18.714668, "activity_lines": [ 0.261667, 0.255491, 0.259367, 0.280822 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }