{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bbb3c323-af44-43f6-8166-0b9accd96d45", "symbol": "EDGF", "name": "3EDGE DYNAMIC FIXED INCOME ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 57.317, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.655, "architecture_energy": 25.136, "architecture_maturity": 14.254, "architecture_confidence": 85.477, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.14, "rotation_up": 20.87, "upward_expansion": 6.63, "deceleration": 49.06, "rotation_down": 42.41, "downward_expansion": 68.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.622, 24.629303, 24.629931, 24.651108 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 24.61, "trend_reference": 24.669289, "distance_from_trend": -0.002403, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.266836, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.014141, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.013069, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.00273, "excess_performance": -0.128355, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.002403, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000467, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.014141, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001314, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.110131, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001211, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.00273, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.981445, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 458369, "relative_activity": 0.754804, "balance": 0.981445, "dry_up": 0.550272, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.003031, "annualized_volatility": 0.017342, "from_high_reference": -0.07695, "from_low_reference": 0.057573 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.669289, "fair_value_reference": 24.266836, "structural_low": 24.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.002086, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.015721, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.001612, "worst_return": -0.006583, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.004646, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.118582, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.004646, "worst_return": -0.004646, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -7.556417, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.995579, "energy": 16.585238, "activity_lines": [ 24.635095, 24.63121, 24.636898, 24.657452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.63, "volume": 353568, "typical_volume": 706937.45, "trend": 24.669871, "fair_value": 24.263262, "relative_strength": -8.145885, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.894764, "energy": 19.775687, "activity_lines": [ 24.631, 24.632735, 24.634135, 24.654971 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.61, "volume": 458369, "typical_volume": 607268.9, "trend": 24.669289, "fair_value": 24.266836, "relative_strength": -11.013069, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.65461, "energy": 25.135877, "activity_lines": [ 24.622, 24.629303, 24.629931, 24.651108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }