{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bbb44b6f-4844-4de6-9917-95077cc8adcb", "symbol": "SOU", "name": "Sound Energy plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.861, "architecture_energy": 65.013, "architecture_maturity": 98.683, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.54, "rotation_up": 29.51, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.07, "rotation_down": 57.16, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.01664, 0.017607, 0.023769, 0.03242 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.017, "trend_reference": 0.046777, "distance_from_trend": -0.636571, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.0744, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.771505, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -73.759426, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.811111, "excess_performance": -0.862346, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.636571, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.327696, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.771505, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.305941, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.737594, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.331635, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.811111, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.268678, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5964266, "relative_activity": 1.40537, "balance": 0.268678, "dry_up": 0.862533, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.34086, "annualized_volatility": 1.50829, "from_high_reference": -0.869231, "from_low_reference": 0.133333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.046777, "fair_value_reference": 0.0744, "structural_low": 0.015, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.002581, "positive_rate": 0.516129, "directional_follow_through": 0.451613, "median_excess_return": -0.007027, "regime_survival": 0.806452, "best_return": 0.555556, "worst_return": -0.621739, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.115385, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.049544, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.644444, "worst_return": -0.586517, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.037671, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.102309, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.275862, "worst_return": -0.480565, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"energy": 68.137493, "activity_lines": [ 0.017973, 0.018942, 0.027063, 0.036897 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0152, "volume": 2549252, "typical_volume": 4160946.7, "trend": 0.049343, "fair_value": 0.075091, "relative_strength": -76.964976, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.538475, "energy": 67.76096, "activity_lines": [ 0.016813, 0.017822, 0.025182, 0.034507 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.017, "volume": 5964266, "typical_volume": 4243911.0, "trend": 0.046777, "fair_value": 0.0744, "relative_strength": -73.759426, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.861419, "energy": 65.012537, "activity_lines": [ 0.01664, 0.017607, 0.023769, 0.03242 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }