{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bbc9526d-d00e-4986-b2dd-b10af3df4e95", "symbol": "O9A", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI Singapore UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.717, "architecture_energy": 88.92, "architecture_maturity": 22.612, "architecture_confidence": 70.067, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.6, "rotation_up": 82.29, "upward_expansion": 96.05, "deceleration": 41.99, "rotation_down": 9.09, "downward_expansion": 20.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.6852, 2.617345, 2.53199, 2.484454 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.763, "trend_reference": 2.4394, "distance_from_trend": 0.132656, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.846641, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.49623, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.094958, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.15125, "excess_performance": -0.003585, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.132656, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038352, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.49623, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117866, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.02095, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01101, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.15125, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 18.793381, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18560, "relative_activity": 0.543477, "balance": 18.793381, "dry_up": 3.031595, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036749, "annualized_volatility": 0.22147, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.280352 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.4394, "fair_value_reference": 1.846641, "structural_low": 2.158, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.650527, "energy": 28.416502, "activity_lines": [ 2.4242, 2.415036, 2.389586, 2.382559 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 2.498, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 33859.5, "trend": 2.3718, "fair_value": 1.795071, "relative_strength": -3.640674, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.486742, "energy": 42.879916, "activity_lines": [ 2.446667, 2.431618, 2.400714, 2.391213 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 2.509, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 33568.45, "trend": 2.378733, "fair_value": 1.802833, "relative_strength": -4.038301, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.71098, "energy": 41.362574, "activity_lines": [ 2.4704, 2.448927, 2.412424, 2.400065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.6, "volume": 130, "typical_volume": 32972.75, "trend": 2.391033, "fair_value": 1.811179, "relative_strength": -4.507531, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.620433, "energy": 74.246314, "activity_lines": [ 2.5176, 2.480218, 2.432367, 2.41434 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.691, "volume": 16091, "typical_volume": 30744.1, "trend": 2.4055, "fair_value": 1.820109, "relative_strength": -1.786938, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.083714, "energy": 83.560687, "activity_lines": [ 2.588467, 2.523109, 2.460305, 2.433692 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.599, "volume": 22910, "typical_volume": 17980.3, "trend": 2.414633, "fair_value": 1.828449, "relative_strength": -6.298431, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.434762, "energy": 77.87441, "activity_lines": [ 2.605, 2.544055, 2.478319, 2.446176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.671, "volume": 356561, "typical_volume": 34682.35, "trend": 2.426067, "fair_value": 1.83725, "relative_strength": -4.278284, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.718771, "energy": 80.995981, "activity_lines": [ 2.635533, 2.574236, 2.50171, 2.462716 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.763, "volume": 18560, "typical_volume": 34150.5, "trend": 2.4394, "fair_value": 1.846641, "relative_strength": -2.094958, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.716527, "energy": 88.920133, "activity_lines": [ 2.6852, 2.617345, 2.53199, 2.484454 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }