{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bbd64608-6394-4110-8381-291aa0d965fd", "symbol": "MET", "name": "Metir plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 49.338, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -9.617, "architecture_energy": 16.361, "architecture_maturity": 27.975, "architecture_confidence": 54.569, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.0, "rotation_up": 18.07, "upward_expansion": 20.63, "deceleration": 69.13, "rotation_down": 55.58, "downward_expansion": 36.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.00705, 0.007482, 0.007317, 0.007196 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.007, "trend_reference": 0.007273, "distance_from_trend": -0.03758, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.013544, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.483182, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.3095, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.151515, "excess_performance": -0.20275, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.03758, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016231, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.483182, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218829, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.193095, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05701, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.151515, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.84306, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25221835, "relative_activity": 4.171691, "balance": 4.84306, "dry_up": 1.517197, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.187802, "annualized_volatility": 0.451407, "from_high_reference": -0.530201, "from_low_reference": 0.4 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.007273, "fair_value_reference": 0.013544, "structural_low": 0.005, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.02204, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.014257, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.145833, "worst_return": -0.342105, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.302326, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.317678, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.555556, "worst_return": -0.479167, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.222222, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.257893, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.148148, "worst_return": -0.854167, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.014251, "relative_strength": -17.919586, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.456074, "energy": 12.714237, "activity_lines": [ 0.0078, 0.007868, 0.007313, 0.007267 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.007, "volume": 7160483, "typical_volume": 4866646.65, "trend": 0.007368, "fair_value": 0.014016, "relative_strength": -18.679971, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.528657, "energy": 7.770081, "activity_lines": [ 0.00745, 0.007755, 0.007313, 0.007241 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.007, "volume": 450603, "typical_volume": 4826119.3, "trend": 0.007335, "fair_value": 0.01378, "relative_strength": -19.366402, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.754784, "energy": 15.350293, "activity_lines": [ 0.0072, 0.007623, 0.007314, 0.007217 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.007, "volume": 25221835, "typical_volume": 6045950.3, "trend": 0.007273, "fair_value": 0.013544, "relative_strength": -19.3095, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -9.616733, "energy": 16.360962, "activity_lines": [ 0.00705, 0.007482, 0.007317, 0.007196 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }