{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bbe14341-13c5-40fe-8ae4-cb4c3fda399b", "symbol": "HCA", "name": "HCA Healthcare, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.936, "architecture_energy": 43.408, "architecture_maturity": 86.498, "architecture_confidence": 74.375, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.46, "rotation_up": 27.91, "upward_expansion": 25.03, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 34.27, "downward_expansion": 61.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 6907.243945, 6818.183484, 7007.923923, 7398.555562 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7095.399902, "trend_reference": 7829.229043, "distance_from_trend": -0.093729, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6625.745416, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.070883, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.78651, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.130341, "excess_performance": -0.075674, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.093729, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077346, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.070883, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191773, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.127865, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048358, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.130341, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.165829, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 224, "relative_activity": 1.757552, "balance": 3.165829, "dry_up": 1.486858, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044483, "annualized_volatility": 0.326448, "from_high_reference": -0.252096, "from_low_reference": 0.137642 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7829.229043, "fair_value_reference": 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"fair_value": 6584.044901, "relative_strength": -21.110264, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.063405, "energy": 66.70465, "activity_lines": [ 6693.302637, 6682.323632, 7197.361958, 7586.475372 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6705.0, "volume": 336, "typical_volume": 153.6, "trend": 7925.465973, "fair_value": 6595.767845, "relative_strength": -17.144212, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.723791, "energy": 57.797166, "activity_lines": [ 6691.903972, 6672.601948, 7098.848055, 7503.883328 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7075.0, "volume": 70, "typical_volume": 126.25, "trend": 7877.514313, "fair_value": 6609.862584, "relative_strength": -13.220375, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.327341, "energy": 52.664449, "activity_lines": [ 6803.505306, 6741.318875, 7046.67347, 7449.014556 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7095.399902, "volume": 224, "typical_volume": 127.45, "trend": 7829.229043, "fair_value": 6625.745416, "relative_strength": -12.78651, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.93579, "energy": 43.4081, "activity_lines": [ 6907.243945, 6818.183484, 7007.923923, 7398.555562 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }