{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bbe26e41-0dcc-4fa1-bd95-59f1b7624a2d", "symbol": "ISAB", "name": "Inhalation Sciences Sweden AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.083, "architecture_energy": 45.248, "architecture_maturity": 70.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.744, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.19, "rotation_up": 16.59, "upward_expansion": 6.98, "deceleration": 43.87, "rotation_down": 57.57, "downward_expansion": 80.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.197067, 0.208782, 0.222238, 0.234486 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.178, "trend_reference": 0.260067, "distance_from_trend": -0.31556, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.811148, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.90172, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -54.238428, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.429487, "excess_performance": -0.490982, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.31556, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191586, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.90172, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018672, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.542384, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061813, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.429487, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.399932, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41066, "relative_activity": 0.023749, "balance": 0.399932, "dry_up": 0.198725, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.320873, "annualized_volatility": 0.857247, "from_high_reference": -0.742029, "from_low_reference": 0.034884 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.260067, "fair_value_reference": 1.811148, "structural_low": 0.172, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 50, "median_return": -0.043238, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.04894, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 0.5625, "worst_return": -0.304036, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.122912, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": -0.142483, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.241722, "worst_return": -0.531118, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.265625, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.270293, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.385135, "worst_return": -0.701538, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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25.76256, "activity_lines": [ 0.2262, 0.227364, 0.237576, 0.2554 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.227, "volume": 415067, "typical_volume": 1761362.0, "trend": 0.2883, "fair_value": 1.862488, "relative_strength": -42.460633, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.173044, "energy": 19.828805, "activity_lines": [ 0.2278, 0.226327, 0.235595, 0.250983 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.223, "volume": 279224, "typical_volume": 1771487.05, "trend": 0.279067, "fair_value": 1.845905, "relative_strength": -43.377593, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.386043, "energy": 19.199528, "activity_lines": [ 0.225933, 0.224764, 0.233533, 0.24677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.18, "volume": 639183, "typical_volume": 1734593.65, "trend": 0.269333, "fair_value": 1.828469, "relative_strength": -53.809321, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.481624, "energy": 33.532138, "activity_lines": [ 0.210333, 0.216091, 0.227857, 0.240378 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.178, "volume": 41066, "typical_volume": 1729198.45, "trend": 0.260067, "fair_value": 1.811148, "relative_strength": -54.238428, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.082559, "energy": 45.247605, "activity_lines": [ 0.197067, 0.208782, 0.222238, 0.234486 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }