{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bbf4cb27-ecf3-4926-922b-b412c212e69b", "symbol": "ANIM3", "name": "\u00c2nima Holding S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.816, "architecture_energy": 85.914, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.839, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.33, "rotation_up": 12.34, "upward_expansion": 20.75, "deceleration": 37.72, "rotation_down": 76.93, "downward_expansion": 96.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.212667, 2.418, 2.833822, 3.192007 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.19, "trend_reference": 3.657686, "distance_from_trend": -0.401261, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.169375, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.309012, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -40.239239, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.541676, "excess_performance": -0.484628, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.401261, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076796, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.309012, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.500347, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.402392, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.257211, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.541676, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.448546, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49752300, "relative_activity": 1.437119, "balance": 0.448546, "dry_up": 2.381363, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.14928, "annualized_volatility": 0.570965, "from_high_reference": -0.585893, "from_low_reference": 0.140625 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.657686, "fair_value_reference": 3.169375, "structural_low": 1.92, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.045345, "positive_rate": 0.566667, "directional_follow_through": 0.433333, "median_excess_return": -0.011245, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.587963, "worst_return": -0.431937, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.008392, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.075893, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.551181, "worst_return": -0.365145, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.012011, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.068685, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.039412, "worst_return": -0.349575, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.136573, "energy": 91.045168, "activity_lines": [ 2.406667, 2.625455, 3.056454, 3.392464 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.18, "volume": 42516600, "typical_volume": 34368200.0, "trend": 3.721068, "fair_value": 3.181394, "relative_strength": -43.056918, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.302789, "energy": 82.824993, "activity_lines": [ 2.289333, 2.510727, 2.940321, 3.290786 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.19, "volume": 49752300, "typical_volume": 34619465.0, "trend": 3.657686, "fair_value": 3.169375, "relative_strength": -40.239239, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.815588, "energy": 85.913782, "activity_lines": [ 2.212667, 2.418, 2.833822, 3.192007 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }