{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bbf6523e-9cd9-49d5-b4e1-aab58e9dab93", "symbol": "BTX", "name": "Anchun International Holdings Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.755, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -90.78, "architecture_energy": 96.277, "architecture_maturity": 12.742, "architecture_confidence": 77.708, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.68, "rotation_up": 8.01, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 89.38, "downward_expansion": 100.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.395, 0.414273, 0.429929, 0.43504 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.38, "trend_reference": 0.43894, "distance_from_trend": -0.134278, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.320421, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.185939, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.148341, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.151566, "excess_performance": -0.306401, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.134278, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037315, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.185939, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.331468, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.221483, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.310571, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.151566, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.180613, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35600, "relative_activity": 0.764277, "balance": 0.180613, "dry_up": 0.806677, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037449, "annualized_volatility": 0.270534, "from_high_reference": -0.247616, "from_low_reference": 0.139324 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.43894, "fair_value_reference": 0.320421, "structural_low": 0.375, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.161829, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.15386, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.217394, "worst_return": 0.124998, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.224643, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.202417, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.304351, "worst_return": 0.056605, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.237081, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.156822, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.524048, "worst_return": 0.076923, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.30644, 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"activity_lines": [ 0.458, 0.454789, 0.450067, 0.444745 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.455, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 55440.0, "trend": 0.434613, "fair_value": 0.315248, "relative_strength": 0.468474, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.855304, "energy": 52.978314, "activity_lines": [ 0.458333, 0.455135, 0.45045, 0.446209 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.435, "volume": 54900, "typical_volume": 57645.0, "trend": 0.436407, "fair_value": 0.316434, "relative_strength": -4.782596, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.955919, "energy": 13.169228, "activity_lines": [ 0.450667, 0.451455, 0.448896, 0.446234 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.425, "volume": 1000, "typical_volume": 49360.0, "trend": 0.437868, "fair_value": 0.317555, "relative_strength": -10.606909, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.160656, "energy": 14.644601, "activity_lines": [ 0.440667, 0.446364, 0.446563, 0.445498 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.425, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 47085.0, "trend": 0.439329, "fair_value": 0.318361, "relative_strength": -11.097771, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.404746, "energy": 39.528825, "activity_lines": [ 0.433333, 0.442091, 0.444522, 0.444668 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.41, "volume": 36900, "typical_volume": 45490.0, "trend": 0.440289, "fair_value": 0.319071, "relative_strength": -15.165046, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -54.636596, "energy": 71.455895, "activity_lines": [ 0.423333, 0.435818, 0.441296, 0.442776 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.38, "volume": 77800, "typical_volume": 48460.0, "trend": 0.439615, "fair_value": 0.319589, "relative_strength": -21.550455, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -94.611139, "energy": 96.559511, "activity_lines": [ 0.406667, 0.424545, 0.43544, 0.438886 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.38, "volume": 35600, "typical_volume": 46580.0, "trend": 0.43894, "fair_value": 0.320421, "relative_strength": -22.148341, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.77966, "energy": 96.277002, "activity_lines": [ 0.395, 0.414273, 0.429929, 0.43504 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }