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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.699, "architecture_energy": 28.039, "architecture_maturity": 28.046, "architecture_confidence": 64.972, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.46, "rotation_up": 43.01, "upward_expansion": 70.68, "deceleration": 62.78, "rotation_down": 27.8, "downward_expansion": 9.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 106.866625, 106.251975, 105.804391, 104.954378 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 110.44, "trend_reference": 104.434566, "distance_from_trend": 0.057504, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 86.969154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.269876, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.09068, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.006446, "excess_performance": -0.119179, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.057504, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051706, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.269876, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017183, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020907, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000596, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.006446, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.628793, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 656538, "relative_activity": 0.940917, "balance": 1.628793, "dry_up": 1.014326, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046853, "annualized_volatility": 0.211843, "from_high_reference": -0.04078, "from_low_reference": 0.422325 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 104.434566, "fair_value_reference": 86.969154, "structural_low": 91.556005, 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"up", "direction": 27.768819, "energy": 13.923522, "activity_lines": [ 105.513693, 106.153664, 104.715143, 104.251697 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 103.25, "volume": 732265, "typical_volume": 747581.0, "trend": 103.28383, "fair_value": 86.334449, "relative_strength": -0.234945, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.633149, "energy": 15.006757, "activity_lines": [ 104.502144, 105.603424, 104.698975, 104.269492 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 102.71, "volume": 422924, "typical_volume": 708856.05, "trend": 103.519742, "fair_value": 86.505713, "relative_strength": -0.277673, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.900977, "energy": 15.278072, "activity_lines": [ 103.613809, 105.00082, 104.663427, 104.23247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 108.27, "volume": 1019312, "typical_volume": 718729.85, "trend": 104.000686, "fair_value": 86.735037, "relative_strength": 3.783802, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.268763, "energy": 17.735998, "activity_lines": [ 104.95627, 105.438943, 105.159463, 104.538938 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 110.44, "volume": 656538, "typical_volume": 697763.75, "trend": 104.434566, "fair_value": 86.969154, "relative_strength": 2.09068, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.698642, "energy": 28.03903, "activity_lines": [ 106.866625, 106.251975, 105.804391, 104.954378 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }