{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bc210d89-b6d9-4e56-bb0a-e8a7e2622c76",
    "symbol": "TEMN",
    "name": "Temenos AG",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-10-02",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 85.669,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -49.667,
    "architecture_energy": 38.182,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.048,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.871,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.71,
        "rotation_up": 9.1,
        "upward_expansion": 11.23,
        "deceleration": 62.76,
        "rotation_down": 68.93,
        "downward_expansion": 70.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        67.380002,
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        69.172143,
        69.225025
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 66.050003,
    "trend_reference": 69.58481,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.050799,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 65.369247,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.010414,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.682066,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.062351,
    "excess_performance": -0.114651,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050799,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003104,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010414,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060922,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076821,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025526,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062351,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.163515,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 890432,
      "relative_activity": 1.886558,
      "balance": 0.163515,
      "dry_up": 2.039644,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062831,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.371816,
      "from_high_reference": -0.225632,
      "from_low_reference": 0.113555
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 69.58481,
      "fair_value_reference": 65.369247,
      "structural_low": 61.599998,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.024733,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02084,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.208527,
        "worst_return": -0.211983,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.038226,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021163,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.078696,
        "worst_return": -0.186253,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.055195,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.139312,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.037462,
        "worst_return": -0.40087,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.104184,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.227748,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.052314,
        "worst_return": -0.204564,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.133615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021559,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "violet",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.006983,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-01-30",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027273,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.153552,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.107686,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-28",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-04",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-11",
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        "volume": 761649,
        "typical_volume": 425990.05,
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        "fair_value": 65.250175,
        "relative_strength": -5.491433,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 46.084781,
        "energy": 46.872219,
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          72.199999,
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          69.79499
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-18",
        "close": 67.400002,
        "volume": 1346803,
        "typical_volume": 443216.85,
        "trend": 69.880171,
        "fair_value": 65.290277,
        "relative_strength": -6.888426,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.750666,
        "energy": 8.696603,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.29,
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          69.64193
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "close": 67.150002,
        "volume": 851864,
        "typical_volume": 455380.5,
        "trend": 69.78187,
        "fair_value": 65.333227,
        "relative_strength": -8.154301,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.209746,
        "energy": 22.321172,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.776667,
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          69.46579
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "close": 66.050003,
        "volume": 890432,
        "typical_volume": 471987.65,
        "trend": 69.58481,
        "fair_value": 65.369247,
        "relative_strength": -7.682066,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.666926,
        "energy": 38.181724,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}