{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bc291097-c735-42f9-ad2d-97d8b590fa54", "symbol": "688701", "name": "Zhejiang Zone-King Environmental Sci&Tech Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.873, "architecture_energy": 53.845, "architecture_maturity": 27.77, "architecture_confidence": 89.258, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.61, "rotation_up": 17.55, "upward_expansion": 8.3, "deceleration": 50.73, "rotation_down": 62.61, "downward_expansion": 81.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.032, 7.213273, 8.104238, 8.582237 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.75, "trend_reference": 9.116333, "distance_from_trend": -0.149878, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.574615, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.023154, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.292102, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.270931, "excess_performance": -0.227727, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.149878, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068558, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.023154, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.401097, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152921, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.242355, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.270931, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.309691, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17028254, "relative_activity": 1.466439, "balance": 0.309691, "dry_up": 1.292033, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.131414, "annualized_volatility": 0.462652, "from_high_reference": -0.366312, "from_low_reference": 0.318027 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.116333, "fair_value_reference": 7.574615, "structural_low": 5.88, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.031659, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.018961, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.392252, "worst_return": -0.156757, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.002576, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.06396, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.425263, "worst_return": -0.204615, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.005917, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.087862, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.242105, "worst_return": -0.269231, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"trend": 9.275, "fair_value": 7.616603, "relative_strength": -25.390668, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.945674, "energy": 84.28091, "activity_lines": [ 7.167333, 7.839818, 8.659524, 9.014366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.24, "volume": 15007936, "typical_volume": 11394647.55, "trend": 9.183333, "fair_value": 7.59891, "relative_strength": -30.348696, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.030615, "energy": 82.714519, "activity_lines": [ 6.798, 7.424727, 8.388, 8.818559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.9, "volume": 13436505, "typical_volume": 11424385.6, "trend": 9.129667, "fair_value": 7.584295, "relative_strength": -22.87392, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.838034, "energy": 74.069884, "activity_lines": [ 6.756667, 7.208727, 8.198571, 8.671247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.75, "volume": 17028254, "typical_volume": 11611977.45, "trend": 9.116333, "fair_value": 7.574615, "relative_strength": -15.292102, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.87328, "energy": 53.845076, "activity_lines": [ 7.032, 7.213273, 8.104238, 8.582237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }