{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bc347e85-bce6-4487-8d13-4ecaa7152310",
    "symbol": "FNGG",
    "name": "DIREXION DAILY NYSE FANG+ BULL 2X ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.931,
    "architecture_energy": 42.616,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.198,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.133,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.32,
        "rotation_up": 51.87,
        "upward_expansion": 75.53,
        "deceleration": 61.84,
        "rotation_down": 21.23,
        "downward_expansion": 4.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        239.93974,
        233.9913,
        230.289654,
        218.636688
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 267.73,
    "trend_reference": 205.13469,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.305142,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 151.132406,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.771493,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 14.25193,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.537018,
    "excess_performance": 0.411393,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.305142,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026965,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.771493,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053649,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142519,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072702,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.537018,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.455232,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 28187,
      "relative_activity": 0.712281,
      "balance": 0.455232,
      "dry_up": 0.493242,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.095885,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.5892,
      "from_high_reference": -0.026955,
      "from_low_reference": 0.924505
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 205.13469,
      "fair_value_reference": 151.132406,
      "structural_low": 139.1163,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.025146,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028532,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.223788,
        "worst_return": -0.126136,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.218102,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.181676,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.396291,
        "worst_return": -0.215155,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.344572,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.198122,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.700824,
        "worst_return": -0.002287,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.861939,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.630452,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 1.095662,
        "worst_return": 0.628215,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.10478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.030296,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.199194,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.015847,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.182327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.178887,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.144907,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.190419,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.099727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.116862,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.302157,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": -0.035753,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.185942,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "fair_value": 146.837765,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 20146,
        "typical_volume": 41873.55,
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        "fair_value": 147.864409,
        "relative_strength": 1.175375,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 39.01835,
        "energy": 22.662657,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 216.9894,
        "volume": 16149,
        "typical_volume": 40494.5,
        "trend": 202.037441,
        "fair_value": 148.793708,
        "relative_strength": -2.904656,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.096107,
        "energy": 21.698252,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 229.0439,
        "volume": 13594,
        "typical_volume": 39430.45,
        "trend": 203.041491,
        "fair_value": 149.822514,
        "relative_strength": 1.365514,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.718339,
        "energy": 22.557828,
        "activity_lines": [
          226.524327,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 267.73,
        "volume": 28187,
        "typical_volume": 39572.85,
        "trend": 205.13469,
        "fair_value": 151.132406,
        "relative_strength": 14.25193,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.931347,
        "energy": 42.616243,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}