{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bc391deb-d02d-45f3-90c8-2a133e42eb09",
    "symbol": "RAD",
    "name": "Radius Residential Care Limited",
    "exchange": "NZE",
    "country": "NZ",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NZ50",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.969,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.38,
    "architecture_energy": 70.022,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.123,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.591,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.57,
        "rotation_up": 71.99,
        "upward_expansion": 88.72,
        "deceleration": 44.81,
        "rotation_down": 14.4,
        "downward_expansion": 20.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.410667,
        0.400909,
        0.395163,
        0.390356
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.415,
    "trend_reference": 0.385495,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.076538,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.241464,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.718683,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.270856,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.082714,
    "excess_performance": 0.054441,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076538,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020509,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.718683,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028512,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072709,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001623,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082714,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.113192,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 695029,
      "relative_activity": 0.807213,
      "balance": 3.113192,
      "dry_up": 0.698594,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046408,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.271782,
      "from_high_reference": -0.034884,
      "from_low_reference": 0.29011
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.385495,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.241464,
      "structural_low": 0.33963,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.012818,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002041,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.277234,
        "worst_return": -0.181816,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.038046,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.174364,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.0091,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 0.234069,
        "relative_strength": -1.344198,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 844967.5,
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        "fair_value": 0.235271,
        "relative_strength": -1.341139,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.257058,
        "energy": 12.633083,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.4,
        "volume": 378861,
        "typical_volume": 857678.85,
        "trend": 0.381678,
        "fair_value": 0.236655,
        "relative_strength": 4.55389,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.483261,
        "energy": 18.473568,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.387333,
          0.388078,
          0.38658,
          0.384142
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.415,
        "volume": 211540,
        "typical_volume": 812673.65,
        "trend": 0.382896,
        "fair_value": 0.238242,
        "relative_strength": 7.757595,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.037242,
        "energy": 47.966395,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.396667,
          0.392785,
          0.389646,
          0.386292
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.415,
        "volume": 1120590,
        "typical_volume": 850057.5,
        "trend": 0.384115,
        "fair_value": 0.239829,
        "relative_strength": 8.289909,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.83258,
        "energy": 65.428707,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.404667,
          0.397091,
          0.392538,
          0.388363
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.415,
        "volume": 695029,
        "typical_volume": 861022.6,
        "trend": 0.385495,
        "fair_value": 0.241464,
        "relative_strength": 7.270856,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.380383,
        "energy": 70.021839,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.410667,
          0.400909,
          0.395163,
          0.390356
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}