{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bc3b5c01-effe-4369-ac44-91b202fe69c6", "symbol": "002461", "name": "Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.44, "architecture_energy": 23.589, "architecture_maturity": 71.839, "architecture_confidence": 81.446, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.26, "rotation_up": 29.25, "upward_expansion": 15.34, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 27.0, "downward_expansion": 63.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.606667, 8.42153, 8.760271, 8.98127 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 8.69, "trend_reference": 9.217979, "distance_from_trend": -0.057277, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.047434, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.039507, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.154944, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.082365, "excess_performance": -0.089765, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.057277, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035424, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.039507, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152516, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.121549, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080478, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.082365, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.862037, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38265091, "relative_activity": 0.829044, "balance": 0.862037, "dry_up": 0.972074, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072521, "annualized_volatility": 0.31952, "from_high_reference": -0.204941, "from_low_reference": 0.141919 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.217979, "fair_value_reference": 9.047434, "structural_low": 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8.889167, 9.091976 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.38, "volume": 46814210, "typical_volume": 46728013.15, "trend": 9.256646, "fair_value": 9.043065, "relative_strength": -13.484496, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.783564, "energy": 59.337291, "activity_lines": [ 8.142, 8.321712, 8.811455, 9.032536 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.01, "volume": 45836255, "typical_volume": 46571552.15, "trend": 9.237979, "fair_value": 9.046244, "relative_strength": -4.870757, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.47124, "energy": 32.661773, "activity_lines": [ 8.471333, 8.398947, 8.79922, 9.016624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.69, "volume": 38265091, "typical_volume": 46155681.15, "trend": 9.217979, "fair_value": 9.047434, "relative_strength": -12.154944, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.440298, "energy": 23.588616, "activity_lines": [ 8.606667, 8.42153, 8.760271, 8.98127 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }