{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bc4626bc-d557-4883-becb-7bfc3e2706c7",
    "symbol": "CBNK",
    "name": "Mulvihill Canadian Bank Enhanced Y ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.056,
    "architecture_energy": 63.67,
    "architecture_maturity": 97.825,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.663,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.48,
        "rotation_up": 51.45,
        "upward_expansion": 83.0,
        "deceleration": 71.49,
        "rotation_down": 28.92,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
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      "activity_lines": [
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        14.698357
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 16.42,
    "trend_reference": 13.708743,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.197776,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.527536,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.925527,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 19.840797,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.368039,
    "excess_performance": 0.247618,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197776,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138635,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.925527,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157221,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.198408,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033918,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.368039,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.058471,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 22600,
      "relative_activity": 0.578745,
      "balance": 3.058471,
      "dry_up": 1.638284,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039552,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.202032,
      "from_high_reference": -0.035517,
      "from_low_reference": 0.874464
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 8.527536,
      "structural_low": 11.293215,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
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        "positive_rate": 0.730769,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.730769,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013918,
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        "worst_return": -0.064657,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "volume": 24200,
        "typical_volume": 33055.0,
        "trend": 11.4128,
        "fair_value": 7.588223,
        "relative_strength": 15.944115,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.711664,
        "energy": 90.495313,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 7.638927,
        "relative_strength": 17.168084,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 81.700809,
        "energy": 92.903561,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 11.646872,
        "fair_value": 7.690222,
        "relative_strength": 16.449042,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 38605.0,
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        "fair_value": 7.741954,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 38115.0,
        "trend": 11.913023,
        "fair_value": 7.799832,
        "relative_strength": 21.145866,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 38365.0,
        "trend": 12.039633,
        "fair_value": 7.855836,
        "relative_strength": 16.261192,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.368856,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 36770.0,
        "trend": 12.186308,
        "fair_value": 7.914471,
        "relative_strength": 20.733035,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 35825.0,
        "trend": 12.346286,
        "fair_value": 7.976701,
        "relative_strength": 23.512021,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 89.823309,
        "energy": 83.639944,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 34300.0,
        "trend": 12.529086,
        "fair_value": 8.044604,
        "relative_strength": 27.604475,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 12000,
        "typical_volume": 29975.0,
        "trend": 12.702543,
        "fair_value": 8.111353,
        "relative_strength": 27.205437,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.068912,
        "energy": 94.643661,
        "activity_lines": [
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          13.97709,
          13.397837
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 16.528318,
        "volume": 12600,
        "typical_volume": 28935.0,
        "trend": 12.880719,
        "fair_value": 8.181982,
        "relative_strength": 29.391437,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.217016,
        "energy": 95.818493,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 16.577953,
        "volume": 73900,
        "typical_volume": 32065.0,
        "trend": 13.053503,
        "fair_value": 8.252084,
        "relative_strength": 28.525929,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.246521,
        "energy": 93.485428,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.271357,
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          14.582152,
          13.883193
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.8162,
        "volume": 93800,
        "typical_volume": 34725.0,
        "trend": 13.232307,
        "fair_value": 8.322867,
        "relative_strength": 29.432165,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.655611,
        "energy": 92.85587,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.525014,
          15.939493,
          14.878308,
          14.125947
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.299999,
        "volume": 90100,
        "typical_volume": 38430.0,
        "trend": 13.392945,
        "fair_value": 8.390352,
        "relative_strength": 24.162027,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.220462,
        "energy": 68.03369,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.50321,
          16.103697,
          15.103806,
          14.323863
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.33,
        "volume": 49400,
        "typical_volume": 39590.0,
        "trend": 13.552401,
        "fair_value": 8.45848,
        "relative_strength": 23.955681,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.229087,
        "energy": 66.066633,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.465521,
          16.226038,
          15.311538,
          14.51335
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.42,
        "volume": 22600,
        "typical_volume": 39050.0,
        "trend": 13.708743,
        "fair_value": 8.527536,
        "relative_strength": 19.840797,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.055779,
        "energy": 63.670016,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.435357,
          16.331254,
          15.505349,
          14.698357
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}