{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bc50fa1f-7fc3-40a4-bf24-bdc3cdecee8c",
    "symbol": "LYY5",
    "name": "Amundi MSCI Europe UCITS ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.476,
    "architecture_energy": 85.665,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.544,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.72,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.01,
        "rotation_up": 65.78,
        "upward_expansion": 94.81,
        "deceleration": 44.9,
        "rotation_down": 19.6,
        "downward_expansion": 21.47
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        250.496666,
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        244.670475,
        240.641612
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 250.45,
    "trend_reference": 236.239999,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.060151,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 198.897884,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.259189,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.991621,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.058761,
    "excess_performance": 0.024088,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060151,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038745,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.259189,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020832,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029916,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031472,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058761,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.641986,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 870,
      "relative_activity": 0.342722,
      "balance": 4.641986,
      "dry_up": 1.877585,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013468,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.14277,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010861,
      "from_low_reference": 0.237401
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 236.239999,
      "fair_value_reference": 198.897884,
      "structural_low": 210.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.011003,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001174,
        "regime_survival": 0.775,
        "best_return": 0.074944,
        "worst_return": -0.057104,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.028209,
        "positive_rate": 0.785714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.785714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009684,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.088138,
        "worst_return": -0.033408,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00345,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.155985,
        "worst_return": -0.116296,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.11877,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.052673,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": 6.407999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 1549,
        "typical_volume": 2667.2,
        "trend": 233.961665,
        "fair_value": 197.157243,
        "relative_strength": 4.720194,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.603997,
        "energy": 71.501915,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 252.100006,
        "volume": 15055,
        "typical_volume": 3017.05,
        "trend": 234.763332,
        "fair_value": 197.729294,
        "relative_strength": 3.385718,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.78334,
        "energy": 83.984536,
        "activity_lines": [
          248.396669,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 251.649994,
        "volume": 1591,
        "typical_volume": 2876.9,
        "trend": 235.479999,
        "fair_value": 198.321794,
        "relative_strength": 2.507618,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.455202,
        "energy": 87.139164,
        "activity_lines": [
          249.87,
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          239.675805
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 250.45,
        "volume": 870,
        "typical_volume": 2538.5,
        "trend": 236.239999,
        "fair_value": 198.897884,
        "relative_strength": 2.991621,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.475521,
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        "activity_lines": [
          250.496666,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}