{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bc57d144-0ce2-4b72-9ce6-81ea66594ff5", "symbol": "PYC", "name": "Physiomics Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 59.13, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -17.658, "architecture_energy": 13.751, "architecture_maturity": 17.475, "architecture_confidence": 66.235, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.89, "rotation_up": 20.87, "upward_expansion": 18.46, "deceleration": 61.2, "rotation_down": 50.14, "downward_expansion": 39.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.004797, 0.004872, 0.005169, 0.005132 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.00465, "trend_reference": 0.004978, "distance_from_trend": -0.065952, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.008194, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.432483, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.108154, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.114286, "excess_performance": -0.165521, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.065952, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133156, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.432483, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04175, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.051082, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.244877, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.114286, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.766378, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14791211, "relative_activity": 0.707961, "balance": 2.766378, "dry_up": 0.780182, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.222829, "annualized_volatility": 0.734582, "from_high_reference": -0.41875, "from_low_reference": 0.837945 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.004978, "fair_value_reference": 0.008194, "structural_low": 0.00305, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.030303, "positive_rate": 0.407407, "directional_follow_through": 0.407407, "median_excess_return": -0.038254, "regime_survival": 0.703704, "best_return": 0.574074, "worst_return": -0.517857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.156716, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.153024, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.537037, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.333333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.418693, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": -0.044776, "worst_return": -0.546875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.533582, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.586572, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.407407, "worst_return": -0.62, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.535714, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.185185, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.363636, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.533333, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.13, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.136364, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.189474, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.4, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.230769, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.27907, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.173913, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.021053, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.00975, "volume": 6907126, "typical_volume": 5655247.6, "trend": 0.026508, "fair_value": 0.04847, "relative_strength": -61.950842, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established 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"2026-07-24", "close": 0.00475, "volume": 11671290, "typical_volume": 26274816.3, "trend": 0.004853, "fair_value": 0.008256, "relative_strength": -2.092875, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.684991, "energy": 10.294911, "activity_lines": [ 0.004883, 0.005095, 0.005255, 0.005153 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0048, "volume": 14309206, "typical_volume": 22068662.7, "trend": 0.004918, "fair_value": 0.008225, "relative_strength": -1.989463, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.693596, "energy": 12.710063, "activity_lines": [ 0.004867, 0.004982, 0.005218, 0.00515 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.00465, "volume": 14791211, "typical_volume": 20892678.35, "trend": 0.004978, "fair_value": 0.008194, "relative_strength": -5.108154, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.658053, "energy": 13.751235, "activity_lines": [ 0.004797, 0.004872, 0.005169, 0.005132 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }