{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bc6dae65-bc1b-4ce9-bff5-008a883df6a4", "symbol": "688321", "name": "Shenzhen Chipscreen Biosciences Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 63.073, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -16.244, "architecture_energy": 12.713, "architecture_maturity": 55.742, "architecture_confidence": 57.366, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.29, "rotation_up": 31.72, "upward_expansion": 19.05, "deceleration": 43.62, "rotation_down": 20.85, "downward_expansion": 53.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.185333, 27.546727, 27.786288, 28.467046 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 29.74, "trend_reference": 29.656621, "distance_from_trend": 0.002811, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.84013, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247476, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.951869, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.069175, "excess_performance": -0.025972, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002811, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020738, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.247476, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084587, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.019519, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027924, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.069175, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.944192, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 58291716, "relative_activity": 1.210564, "balance": 0.944192, "dry_up": 1.74639, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098587, "annualized_volatility": 0.398462, "from_high_reference": -0.337726, "from_low_reference": 0.244351 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.656621, "fair_value_reference": 23.84013, "structural_low": 23.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.009913, "positive_rate": 0.592593, "directional_follow_through": 0.407407, "median_excess_return": 0.025816, "regime_survival": 0.703704, "best_return": 0.339486, "worst_return": -0.174914, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.042786, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": 0.055903, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 1.230149, "worst_return": -0.26224, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.007651, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027072, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.851117, "worst_return": -0.404923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.82768, "energy": 22.525235, "activity_lines": [ 27.350667, 26.847455, 27.907985, 28.768747 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.200001, "volume": 93284867, "typical_volume": 46048390.4, "trend": 29.720659, "fair_value": 23.75935, "relative_strength": -5.241042, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.630794, "energy": 23.77166, "activity_lines": [ 27.830001, 27.055455, 27.860643, 28.670796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.459999, "volume": 59329857, "typical_volume": 46836245.85, "trend": 29.637467, "fair_value": 23.788971, "relative_strength": -10.968741, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.699252, "energy": 20.253514, "activity_lines": [ 27.544667, 26.983455, 27.658029, 28.460431 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.74, "volume": 58291716, "typical_volume": 48152540.5, "trend": 29.656621, "fair_value": 23.84013, "relative_strength": -1.951869, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.243883, "energy": 12.71333, "activity_lines": [ 28.185333, 27.546727, 27.786288, 28.467046 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }