{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bc72506a-b13a-4d39-8080-0d1f6ac91ee1", "symbol": "LIKHITHA", "name": "Likhitha Infrastructure Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 78.843, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.201, "architecture_energy": 24.306, "architecture_maturity": 65.998, "architecture_confidence": 86.207, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.48, "rotation_up": 22.91, "upward_expansion": 56.33, "deceleration": 91.1, "rotation_down": 31.21, "downward_expansion": 20.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 226.456667, 234.773819, 228.443906, 216.204303 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 221.929993, "trend_reference": 199.492668, "distance_from_trend": 0.112472, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 283.19088, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.216324, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.209123, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.328843, "excess_performance": 0.372552, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.112472, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07375, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.216324, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028999, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.072091, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065639, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.328843, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.300478, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 152973, "relative_activity": 0.291697, "balance": 0.300478, "dry_up": 0.323863, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091332, "annualized_volatility": 0.577689, "from_high_reference": -0.177428, "from_low_reference": 0.688323 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 199.492668, "fair_value_reference": 283.19088, "structural_low": 131.449997, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.016004, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.007486, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.212163, "worst_return": -0.080262, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.017572, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.012169, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.182466, "worst_return": -0.10554, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.100876, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.038859, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.535444, "worst_return": -0.289853, "sufficient": false }, { 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false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.019334, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.00395, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.205732, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.193606, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.309954, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": 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226.600006, "volume": 185969, "typical_volume": 536703.6, "trend": 197.156001, "fair_value": 284.056818, "relative_strength": 12.086031, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.643869, "energy": 46.612722, "activity_lines": [ 240.440002, 238.692184, 227.257145, 213.139464 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 220.800003, "volume": 145897, "typical_volume": 529733.45, "trend": 198.069001, "fair_value": 283.574631, "relative_strength": 6.948492, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.155581, "energy": 25.615452, "activity_lines": [ 232.033336, 236.790184, 227.984717, 214.664884 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 221.929993, "volume": 152973, "typical_volume": 524424.45, "trend": 199.492668, "fair_value": 283.19088, "relative_strength": 7.209123, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.201009, "energy": 24.305674, "activity_lines": [ 226.456667, 234.773819, 228.443906, 216.204303 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }