{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bc86477b-a2d7-491d-a139-26d495bac77e", "symbol": "KNDI", "name": "Kandi Technologies Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.246, "architecture_energy": 32.508, "architecture_maturity": 67.899, "architecture_confidence": 81.057, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.64, "rotation_up": 23.04, "upward_expansion": 3.64, "deceleration": 56.34, "rotation_down": 43.95, "downward_expansion": 74.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.66724, 0.673813, 0.697292, 0.74251 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.6522, "trend_reference": 0.814967, "distance_from_trend": -0.199722, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.623379, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.598246, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -41.305897, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.390467, "excess_performance": -0.577921, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.199722, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097903, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.598246, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029015, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.413059, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048974, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.390467, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.532916, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 430053, "relative_activity": 0.134554, "balance": 2.532916, "dry_up": 1.209383, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.173123, "annualized_volatility": 0.59181, "from_high_reference": -0.631525, "from_low_reference": 0.144211 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.814967, "fair_value_reference": 1.623379, "structural_low": 0.57, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.049608, "positive_rate": 0.341463, "directional_follow_through": 0.658537, "median_excess_return": -0.057622, "regime_survival": 0.926829, "best_return": 0.457944, "worst_return": -0.271084, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.126799, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.142631, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.244635, "worst_return": -0.34555, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.20922, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.359728, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.090226, "worst_return": -0.439462, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.091667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.246835, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.198444, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.750599, "energy": 42.836387, "activity_lines": [ 0.67988, 0.697196, 0.73111, 0.783886 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.7089, "volume": 520757, "typical_volume": 3026385.55, "trend": 0.834583, "fair_value": 1.680336, "relative_strength": -36.414491, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.063677, "energy": 33.710913, "activity_lines": [ 0.690187, 0.698078, 0.724213, 0.775413 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.6506, "volume": 14007632, "typical_volume": 3709601.4, "trend": 0.828067, "fair_value": 1.661365, "relative_strength": -39.744939, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.202941, "energy": 31.183261, "activity_lines": [ 0.680467, 0.688205, 0.713197, 0.763543 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.672, "volume": 502995, "typical_volume": 3722393.8, "trend": 0.82214, "fair_value": 1.642788, "relative_strength": -37.298677, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.61131, "energy": 30.012874, "activity_lines": [ 0.679387, 0.682247, 0.705555, 0.753474 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.6522, "volume": 430053, "typical_volume": 3196142.0, "trend": 0.814967, "fair_value": 1.623379, "relative_strength": -41.305897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.246157, "energy": 32.507653, "activity_lines": [ 0.66724, 0.673813, 0.697292, 0.74251 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }