{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bc8c941b-7aa6-40a6-b0ca-9f6891a757e2",
    "symbol": "ZPAY",
    "name": "BMO Premium Yield ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 56.464,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.18,
    "architecture_energy": 67.683,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.649,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.093,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.01,
        "rotation_up": 62.74,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 60.56,
        "rotation_down": 25.57,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        32.941403,
        32.475736
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 33.790001,
    "trend_reference": 31.962265,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.057184,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.479584,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.146217,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.928745,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.082109,
    "excess_performance": -0.038312,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057184,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012039,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146217,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03982,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059287,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03376,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082109,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.809621,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 70600,
      "relative_activity": 1.145825,
      "balance": 5.809621,
      "dry_up": 1.015986,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01369,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.075719,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007927,
      "from_low_reference": 0.119765
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.962265,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.479584,
      "structural_low": 30.175976,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.007227,
        "positive_rate": 0.707317,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.707317,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002011,
        "regime_survival": 0.878049,
        "best_return": 0.043232,
        "worst_return": -0.050917,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.057801,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.010523,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "fair_value": 28.658119,
        "relative_strength": -11.592208,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -17.010481,
        "energy": 15.166238,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "fair_value": 28.703018,
        "relative_strength": -10.302361,
        "stage": 3,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 28.750373,
        "relative_strength": -10.272365,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -4.597425,
        "energy": 24.621359,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 94847.4,
        "trend": 31.555827,
        "fair_value": 28.797849,
        "relative_strength": -9.304794,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.176745,
        "energy": 35.79538,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 32.276802,
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        "typical_volume": 96714.25,
        "trend": 31.562901,
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "direction": 40.313491,
        "energy": 57.823899,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 100225.0,
        "trend": 31.570129,
        "fair_value": 28.897121,
        "relative_strength": -7.42697,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 47.310054,
        "energy": 68.058745,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 32.666782,
        "volume": 80200,
        "typical_volume": 97985.0,
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        "fair_value": 28.947412,
        "relative_strength": -7.878316,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.239089,
        "energy": 72.937258,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 17200,
        "typical_volume": 92670.0,
        "trend": 31.608915,
        "fair_value": 28.999649,
        "relative_strength": -6.343975,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 47.781971,
        "energy": 76.226564,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 32.781086,
        "volume": 5700,
        "typical_volume": 86030.0,
        "trend": 31.627598,
        "fair_value": 29.051102,
        "relative_strength": -7.390177,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.37583,
        "energy": 86.388306,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 32.989819,
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        "typical_volume": 77815.0,
        "trend": 31.653894,
        "fair_value": 29.105448,
        "relative_strength": -6.588027,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 77.04922,
        "energy": 88.757506,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 32.764393,
        "volume": 19900,
        "typical_volume": 75570.0,
        "trend": 31.662216,
        "fair_value": 29.156516,
        "relative_strength": -6.91978,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.456333,
        "energy": 80.347492,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.820913,
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          31.819326
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 33.470177,
        "volume": 11600,
        "typical_volume": 71460.0,
        "trend": 31.704604,
        "fair_value": 29.212864,
        "relative_strength": -5.338768,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.618014,
        "energy": 86.565683,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.046753,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 33.5,
        "volume": 66900,
        "typical_volume": 69840.0,
        "trend": 31.750949,
        "fair_value": 29.267892,
        "relative_strength": -5.104763,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.458656,
        "energy": 85.109739,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.228974,
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          32.411154,
          32.051801
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.201782,
        "volume": 77800,
        "typical_volume": 67975.0,
        "trend": 31.783731,
        "fair_value": 29.320253,
        "relative_strength": -5.535441,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.492329,
        "energy": 71.202337,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.262536,
          33.074919,
          32.536071,
          32.145403
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.34095,
        "volume": 55000,
        "typical_volume": 65265.0,
        "trend": 31.825762,
        "fair_value": 29.371937,
        "relative_strength": -5.122773,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.025875,
        "energy": 73.546348,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.314442,
          33.153743,
          32.664506,
          32.245869
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.5,
        "volume": 47000,
        "typical_volume": 62455.0,
        "trend": 31.901294,
        "fair_value": 29.425075,
        "relative_strength": -3.978448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.413003,
        "energy": 65.253261,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.395955,
          33.242138,
          32.795727,
          32.353884
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.790001,
        "volume": 70600,
        "typical_volume": 61615.0,
        "trend": 31.962265,
        "fair_value": 29.479584,
        "relative_strength": -5.928745,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.180364,
        "energy": 67.682856,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.525095,
          33.368025,
          32.941403,
          32.475736
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}