{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bc9b6d51-3466-4054-9226-28322d17f11a", "symbol": "300749", "name": "Guangdong Topstrong Living Innovation and Integration Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.165, "architecture_energy": 70.034, "architecture_maturity": 8.943, "architecture_confidence": 68.45, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.52, "rotation_up": 9.5, "upward_expansion": 15.79, "deceleration": 37.19, "rotation_down": 71.16, "downward_expansion": 89.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.274, 20.782727, 22.042143, 23.375979 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.1, "trend_reference": 23.555333, "distance_from_trend": -0.061784, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.749448, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.05592, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 22.96563, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.320191, "excess_performance": 0.312791, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.061784, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.17362, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.05592, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.606825, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.229656, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.278657, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.320191, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.362051, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28480900, "relative_activity": 0.825764, "balance": 0.362051, "dry_up": 0.778969, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.162165, "annualized_volatility": 1.078064, "from_high_reference": -0.431584, "from_low_reference": 1.745342 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.555333, "fair_value_reference": 10.749448, "structural_low": 15.03, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"gate": "up", "direction": 23.475961, "energy": 18.671851, "activity_lines": [ 24.300666, 23.653091, 24.590524, 24.504774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.309999, "volume": 26559036, "typical_volume": 42991560.05, "trend": 22.876, "fair_value": 10.557613, "relative_strength": 9.116191, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.399904, "energy": 20.98441, "activity_lines": [ 22.450666, 22.691454, 23.819047, 24.225462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.110001, "volume": 26259780, "typical_volume": 39744772.05, "trend": 23.07, "fair_value": 10.61228, "relative_strength": 0.747248, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.985681, "energy": 59.740753, "activity_lines": [ 20.393333, 21.644545, 22.999571, 23.853462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.790001, "volume": 26167984, "typical_volume": 36795072.1, "trend": 23.221, "fair_value": 10.664323, "relative_strength": -0.387803, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -47.391155, "energy": 69.857887, "activity_lines": [ 18.592, 20.666182, 22.218143, 23.448301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.1, "volume": 28480900, "typical_volume": 34490345.55, "trend": 23.555333, "fair_value": 10.749448, "relative_strength": 22.96563, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.165236, "energy": 70.033599, "activity_lines": [ 19.274, 20.782727, 22.042143, 23.375979 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }