{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bc9cb1a8-37a7-4814-925a-35280eb7475f", "symbol": "600018", "name": "Shanghai International Port (Group) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 55.354, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 20.186, "architecture_energy": 32.342, "architecture_maturity": 20.755, "architecture_confidence": 82.922, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.8, "rotation_up": 66.07, "upward_expansion": 43.45, "deceleration": 40.25, "rotation_down": 16.85, "downward_expansion": 18.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.156978, 5.035908, 5.017965, 5.024797 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.16, "trend_reference": 5.047068, "distance_from_trend": 0.022376, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.309348, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.028129, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.289893, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.034068, "excess_performance": 0.077272, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.022376, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0331, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.028129, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007367, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.012899, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125965, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.034068, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.156095, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 266313519, "relative_activity": 1.258801, "balance": 2.156095, "dry_up": 1.460883, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035711, "annualized_volatility": 0.146325, "from_high_reference": -0.118893, "from_low_reference": 0.119528 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.047068, "fair_value_reference": 5.309348, "structural_low": 4.609085, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.007328, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.029803, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.054744, "worst_return": -0.038261, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.001031, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.050978, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.09854, "worst_return": -0.068468, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.018406, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.066083, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.147695, "worst_return": -0.036181, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 74.008034, "activity_lines": [ 4.813995, 4.901685, 4.961087, 5.002658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.027209, "volume": 353102654, "typical_volume": 225322401.9, "trend": 5.072731, "fair_value": 5.300765, "relative_strength": -0.326389, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.057328, "energy": 51.591535, "activity_lines": [ 4.876094, 4.912186, 4.963133, 4.998791 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.14, "volume": 328549528, "typical_volume": 213385463.95, "trend": 5.060086, "fair_value": 5.303243, "relative_strength": 0.907076, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.425232, "energy": 9.175097, "activity_lines": [ 4.976644, 4.944699, 4.976219, 5.003131 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.29, "volume": 288298662, "typical_volume": 210961658.1, "trend": 5.054092, "fair_value": 5.306741, "relative_strength": 3.656121, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.498849, "energy": 33.901212, "activity_lines": [ 5.110526, 5.003758, 5.003544, 5.017964 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.16, "volume": 266313519, "typical_volume": 211561174.45, "trend": 5.047068, "fair_value": 5.309348, "relative_strength": -1.289893, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.185882, "energy": 32.341691, "activity_lines": [ 5.156978, 5.035908, 5.017965, 5.024797 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }