{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bcb66c97-4221-466b-9028-283ee0c195d8", "symbol": "INDTERRAIN", "name": "Indian Terrain Fashions Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 54.404, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.613, "architecture_energy": 39.687, "architecture_maturity": 4.137, "architecture_confidence": 65.191, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.09, "rotation_up": 13.07, "upward_expansion": 17.36, "deceleration": 43.43, "rotation_down": 63.11, "downward_expansion": 74.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.965334, 30.884546, 31.425857, 31.385204 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 31.700001, "trend_reference": 31.645667, "distance_from_trend": 0.001717, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 48.480513, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.346129, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.18331, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.152633, "excess_performance": -0.108924, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001717, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044717, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.346129, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019435, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.041833, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01174, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.152633, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.814159, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1213511, "relative_activity": 8.573574, "balance": 2.814159, "dry_up": 2.531375, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092089, "annualized_volatility": 0.415344, "from_high_reference": -0.256218, "from_low_reference": 0.290717 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.645667, "fair_value_reference": 48.480513, "structural_low": 24.559999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.024383, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": -0.029603, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.255244, "worst_return": -0.223012, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.038659, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.058395, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.485588, "worst_return": -0.364812, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.053706, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.000774, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.665188, "worst_return": -0.354064, "sufficient": true }, { 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31.970193 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 30.129999, "volume": 78659, "typical_volume": 117015.3, "trend": 32.106333, "fair_value": 48.990513, "relative_strength": -9.295697, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.643158, "energy": 9.385459, "activity_lines": [ 31.830666, 32.157091, 31.897476, 31.832344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.26, "volume": 44624, "typical_volume": 110226.35, "trend": 31.925, "fair_value": 48.815256, "relative_strength": -9.281198, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.30128, "energy": 33.479485, "activity_lines": [ 30.780667, 31.612545, 31.705857, 31.64871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.83, "volume": 96378, "typical_volume": 97089.65, "trend": 31.689333, "fair_value": 48.63468, "relative_strength": -15.416375, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.03871, "energy": 63.509698, "activity_lines": [ 29.54, 30.854909, 31.380143, 31.384516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.700001, "volume": 1213511, "typical_volume": 141540.85, "trend": 31.645667, "fair_value": 48.480513, "relative_strength": -4.18331, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.613183, "energy": 39.687406, "activity_lines": [ 29.965334, 30.884546, 31.425857, 31.385204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }