{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bcb934ce-072c-4ce1-8ef8-d114f56a0f20", "symbol": "300528", "name": "Omnijoi Media Corporation", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.026, "architecture_energy": 34.431, "architecture_maturity": 70.804, "architecture_confidence": 78.92, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.06, "rotation_up": 19.97, "upward_expansion": 3.79, "deceleration": 58.43, "rotation_down": 48.36, "downward_expansion": 74.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.104, 14.318364, 14.94681, 15.663505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.96, "trend_reference": 17.083667, "distance_from_trend": -0.182845, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.405064, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.125347, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.731731, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.37371, "excess_performance": -0.38111, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.182845, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119293, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.125347, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192728, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.287317, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021411, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.37371, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.866229, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 89994760, "relative_activity": 1.360772, "balance": 1.866229, "dry_up": 1.851534, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.160679, "annualized_volatility": 0.639526, "from_high_reference": -0.584524, "from_low_reference": 0.1168 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.083667, "fair_value_reference": 12.405064, "structural_low": 12.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.074818, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": 0.047196, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.307692, "worst_return": -0.132972, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.1, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.070505, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.414105, "worst_return": -0.08872, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.367576, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.382286, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.390089, "worst_return": 0.023529, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.130877, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.075281, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.008483, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.725688, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.060349, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.107527, 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14.970727, 15.586952, 16.690022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 15.9, "volume": 78215507, "typical_volume": 56109540.4, "trend": 17.891333, "fair_value": 12.323333, "relative_strength": -24.015151, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.802313, "energy": 45.966265, "activity_lines": [ 14.652, 15.067091, 15.536476, 16.549011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.99, "volume": 175429423, "typical_volume": 58775616.85, "trend": 17.732667, "fair_value": 12.368077, "relative_strength": -16.286559, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.591381, "energy": 28.172078, "activity_lines": [ 15.18, 15.176182, 15.535952, 16.426344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.28, "volume": 119365312, "typical_volume": 60980543.7, "trend": 17.53, "fair_value": 12.395321, "relative_strength": -30.811517, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.284697, "energy": 33.743516, "activity_lines": [ 14.686, 14.789091, 15.292857, 16.139075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.51, "volume": 105015675, "typical_volume": 63530154.05, "trend": 17.311333, "fair_value": 12.40391, "relative_strength": -28.284952, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.100753, "energy": 33.235439, "activity_lines": [ 14.342, 14.478545, 15.090952, 15.87972 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.96, "volume": 89994760, "typical_volume": 66135052.9, "trend": 17.083667, "fair_value": 12.405064, "relative_strength": -28.731731, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.026142, "energy": 34.431065, "activity_lines": [ 14.104, 14.318364, 14.94681, 15.663505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }