{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bcbbf4fd-6c5a-4fd0-bdf9-5385ac7994d5", "symbol": "200596", "name": "Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -29.023, "architecture_energy": 37.101, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.29, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.0, "rotation_up": 42.29, "upward_expansion": 24.78, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 24.3, "downward_expansion": 61.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.453897, 54.324815, 55.792412, 59.437463 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 57.810001, "trend_reference": 65.321216, "distance_from_trend": -0.114989, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 97.808592, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.408948, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.577025, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.280303, "excess_performance": -0.287703, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.114989, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16957, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.408948, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033435, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.31577, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135225, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.280303, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.915011, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1192830, "relative_activity": 1.230358, "balance": 0.915011, "dry_up": 1.698417, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064756, "annualized_volatility": 0.391869, "from_high_reference": -0.480552, "from_low_reference": 0.222229 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.321216, "fair_value_reference": 97.808592, 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61.343035, "activity_lines": [ 51.628543, 51.374785, 55.639976, 60.218112 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 63.389999, "volume": 1487046, "typical_volume": 943030.1, "trend": 66.267448, "fair_value": 98.233358, "relative_strength": -22.331536, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.993396, "energy": 27.122179, "activity_lines": [ 55.947775, 53.402618, 55.958408, 59.983105 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.810001, "volume": 1192830, "typical_volume": 969498.5, "trend": 65.321216, "fair_value": 97.808592, "relative_strength": -31.577025, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.023325, "energy": 37.100869, "activity_lines": [ 57.453897, 54.324815, 55.792412, 59.437463 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }