{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bcc072f1-e770-4820-916d-79154b34550e", "symbol": "CEN", "name": "Groupe CRIT SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.704, "architecture_energy": 31.293, "architecture_maturity": 92.648, "architecture_confidence": 81.482, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.61, "rotation_up": 27.81, "upward_expansion": 18.08, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 30.75, "downward_expansion": 65.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.260001, 51.831386, 52.731042, 54.214963 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 52.400002, "trend_reference": 56.38013, "distance_from_trend": -0.070595, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 60.394848, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.132376, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.580185, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.191358, "excess_performance": -0.244669, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.070595, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041945, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.132376, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02096, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.155802, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04119, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.191358, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.304654, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3740, "relative_activity": 1.055245, "balance": 2.304654, "dry_up": 1.594083, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032747, "annualized_volatility": 0.20326, "from_high_reference": -0.224852, "from_low_reference": 0.052209 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.38013, "fair_value_reference": 60.394848, 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{ "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 51.200001, "volume": 8780, "typical_volume": 3436.45, "trend": 56.80013, "fair_value": 60.602626, "relative_strength": -15.083706, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.471633, "energy": 80.221305, "activity_lines": [ 50.838438, 51.425043, 52.980603, 54.670464 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.0, "volume": 6257, "typical_volume": 3499.7, "trend": 56.66013, "fair_value": 60.498644, "relative_strength": -11.411699, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.447104, "energy": 47.016124, "activity_lines": [ 51.933334, 51.779226, 52.919632, 54.48981 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.400002, "volume": 3740, "typical_volume": 3544.2, "trend": 56.38013, "fair_value": 60.394848, "relative_strength": -15.580185, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.703836, "energy": 31.293008, "activity_lines": [ 52.260001, 51.831386, 52.731042, 54.214963 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }