{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bcc24cb7-8c40-4aef-8493-460cbab267b0", "symbol": "BEWI", "name": "BEWI ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.714, "architecture_energy": 41.023, "architecture_maturity": 23.495, "architecture_confidence": 78.508, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.17, "rotation_up": 50.08, "upward_expansion": 78.81, "deceleration": 59.29, "rotation_down": 23.71, "downward_expansion": 5.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.810667, 18.603636, 18.071809, 17.376043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 18.98, "trend_reference": 16.759333, "distance_from_trend": 0.132503, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.913397, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.171664, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.925877, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.143373, "excess_performance": 0.01838, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.132503, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031217, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.171664, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152476, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.019259, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.179616, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.143373, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.704246, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 304750, "relative_activity": 0.517885, "balance": 5.704246, "dry_up": 0.392319, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075221, "annualized_volatility": 0.400772, "from_high_reference": -0.225306, "from_low_reference": 0.427068 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.759333, "fair_value_reference": 22.913397, "structural_low": 13.3, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.040678, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.091163, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.0299, "worst_return": -0.134897, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.288856, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.338668, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.288856, "worst_return": -0.288856, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.16129, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.233765, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.16129, "worst_return": -0.16129, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 23.332436, "relative_strength": -3.210013, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.238052, "energy": 31.081763, "activity_lines": [ 18.315999, 18.425091, 17.454667, 16.954581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.6, "volume": 198764, "typical_volume": 968260.05, "trend": 16.686, "fair_value": 23.187564, "relative_strength": -4.656486, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.953981, "energy": 31.113545, "activity_lines": [ 18.392, 18.442909, 17.649428, 17.080473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.0, "volume": 163361, "typical_volume": 967857.9, "trend": 16.712667, "fair_value": 23.046218, "relative_strength": -2.298085, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.332974, "energy": 38.800357, "activity_lines": [ 18.636, 18.521091, 17.869905, 17.229763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.98, "volume": 304750, "typical_volume": 588451.6, "trend": 16.759333, "fair_value": 22.913397, "relative_strength": -1.925877, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.713942, "energy": 41.022761, "activity_lines": [ 18.810667, 18.603636, 18.071809, 17.376043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }