{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bcebcc2e-4feb-4bf0-83ab-a975fdc5d078",
    "symbol": "PD",
    "name": "Pagerduty Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.766,
    "architecture_energy": 63.589,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.356,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.96,
        "rotation_up": 69.81,
        "upward_expansion": 86.88,
        "deceleration": 48.28,
        "rotation_down": 15.27,
        "downward_expansion": 11.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.596,
        10.140182,
        9.264905,
        8.693032
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 11.69,
    "trend_reference": 8.382,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.394655,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 16.936282,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.309766,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.471338,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.45398,
    "excess_performance": 0.328355,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.394655,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.125509,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.309766,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.288551,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074713,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.418479,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.45398,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.067167,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5688183,
      "relative_activity": 0.559087,
      "balance": 1.067167,
      "dry_up": 0.717638,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.118268,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.778471,
      "from_high_reference": -0.323887,
      "from_low_reference": 1.050877
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.382,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.936282,
      "structural_low": 5.7,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.108696,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.117103,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.198809,
        "worst_return": -0.198606,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.091785,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.273742,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.194887,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.264687,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.503896,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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      },
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        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 56.233838,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 11394489.95,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.58,
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        "typical_volume": 10794866.0,
        "trend": 8.403667,
        "fair_value": 17.015064,
        "relative_strength": -14.266717,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.660597,
        "energy": 56.117542,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.69,
        "volume": 5688183,
        "typical_volume": 10174059.75,
        "trend": 8.382,
        "fair_value": 16.936282,
        "relative_strength": -7.471338,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.765727,
        "energy": 63.589057,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}