{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bcf0e461-7a8e-4740-b2eb-56d6b8050869",
    "symbol": "TKR",
    "name": "thyssenkrupp AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.143,
    "architecture_energy": 81.994,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.427,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.032,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.63,
        "rotation_up": 76.05,
        "upward_expansion": 96.8,
        "deceleration": 39.35,
        "rotation_down": 14.88,
        "downward_expansion": 18.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.212333,
        11.849909,
        11.331176,
        10.820145
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 12.6,
    "trend_reference": 10.453534,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.205334,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.162365,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.759195,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.81971,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.082009,
    "excess_performance": -0.092237,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.205334,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083475,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.759195,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171716,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018197,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072084,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082009,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.602154,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2465,
      "relative_activity": 0.730825,
      "balance": 0.602154,
      "dry_up": 1.240253,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.063236,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.560299,
      "from_high_reference": -0.040608,
      "from_low_reference": 0.751947
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.453534,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.162365,
      "structural_low": 7.192,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.030405,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001344,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.835546,
        "worst_return": -0.271355,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.040329,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006527,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 1.334683,
        "worst_return": -0.204186,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.030233,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039733,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 1.649128,
        "worst_return": -0.195265,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.183364,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 1.569038,
        "worst_return": -0.377492,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "relative_strength": -21.354247,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 1813.4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": -6.164067,
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 9.911425,
        "fair_value": 6.952971,
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        "energy": 34.273318,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 6.986973,
        "relative_strength": -3.824375,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 43.90485,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 3057.05,
        "trend": 10.086015,
        "fair_value": 7.017384,
        "relative_strength": -6.12486,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.229811,
        "energy": 38.333786,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.855,
        "volume": 5551,
        "typical_volume": 3246.6,
        "trend": 10.180362,
        "fair_value": 7.050472,
        "relative_strength": -0.852731,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.783375,
        "energy": 48.034542,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.503333,
          11.356182,
          10.727057,
          10.429061
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.22,
        "volume": 5025,
        "typical_volume": 3444.4,
        "trend": 10.286678,
        "fair_value": 7.085948,
        "relative_strength": 1.247688,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.333772,
        "energy": 73.215327,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.826667,
          11.533091,
          10.937014,
          10.560651
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.08,
        "volume": 3692,
        "typical_volume": 3314.15,
        "trend": 10.371158,
        "fair_value": 7.122663,
        "relative_strength": 0.389547,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.676843,
        "energy": 72.321166,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.989333,
          11.654727,
          11.119381,
          10.676349
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.6,
        "volume": 2465,
        "typical_volume": 3372.9,
        "trend": 10.453534,
        "fair_value": 7.162365,
        "relative_strength": 1.81971,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.142931,
        "energy": 81.993949,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.212333,
          11.849909,
          11.331176,
          10.820145
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}