{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bcf3b2fe-5ee9-45d1-818f-236858572e7d", "symbol": "OXYP", "name": "Occidental Petroleum Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 27.343, "architecture_energy": 26.522, "architecture_maturity": 46.12, "architecture_confidence": 46.679, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.75, "rotation_up": 57.51, "upward_expansion": 58.83, "deceleration": 59.62, "rotation_down": 7.73, "downward_expansion": 16.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.577666, 47.330601, 47.640117, 47.725542 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 48.555, "trend_reference": 46.520455, "distance_from_trend": 0.043734, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 41.986158, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.156453, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.93286, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.255261, "excess_performance": 0.081014, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043734, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092683, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price 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"A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.066032, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.118747, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.132699, "worst_return": -0.076902, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.046585, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.161038, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.046585, "worst_return": -0.046585, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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47.051815 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.02, "volume": 3974, "typical_volume": 4214.3, "trend": 45.683824, "fair_value": 41.84492, "relative_strength": -0.432426, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.00944, "energy": 15.859271, "activity_lines": [ 47.05, 46.756151, 47.64917, 47.365811 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.834999, "volume": 2462, "typical_volume": 3998.7, "trend": 46.13034, "fair_value": 41.917733, "relative_strength": -2.670276, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.025628, "energy": 24.933055, "activity_lines": [ 48.016333, 47.05591, 47.653965, 47.569112 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.555, "volume": 3249, "typical_volume": 3946.0, "trend": 46.520455, "fair_value": 41.986158, "relative_strength": -5.93286, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.343092, "energy": 26.521875, "activity_lines": [ 48.577666, 47.330601, 47.640117, 47.725542 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }