{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bcf6694a-074e-41fb-80e1-c3adf8072727", "symbol": "FILATFASH", "name": "Filatex Fashions Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.71, "architecture_energy": 59.617, "architecture_maturity": 35.614, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.17, "rotation_up": 20.69, "upward_expansion": 11.3, "deceleration": 42.68, "rotation_down": 61.38, "downward_expansion": 86.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.184667, 0.187455, 0.203095, 0.208495 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.18, "trend_reference": 0.223333, "distance_from_trend": -0.19403, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.690797, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.739431, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -44.331188, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.4, "excess_performance": -0.356291, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.19403, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.225434, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.739431, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098683, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.443312, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110324, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.4, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.215316, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 68562670, "relative_activity": 0.611795, "balance": 0.215316, "dry_up": 0.608631, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102564, "annualized_volatility": 0.782576, "from_high_reference": -0.735294, "from_low_reference": 0.285714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.223333, "fair_value_reference": 0.690797, "structural_low": 0.14, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.078947, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.072816, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.470588, "worst_return": -0.291667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.187799, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.135867, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.045455, "worst_return": -0.421053, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.394737, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.293405, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.394737, "worst_return": -0.394737, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.593991, "energy": 50.014042, "activity_lines": [ 0.187333, 0.190182, 0.205905, 0.211548 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.18, "volume": 68562670, "typical_volume": 112068060.3, "trend": 0.223333, "fair_value": 0.690797, "relative_strength": -44.331188, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.71047, "energy": 59.617155, "activity_lines": [ 0.184667, 0.187455, 0.203095, 0.208495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }