{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bd022981-6bf5-4c98-9941-26286708b9db", "symbol": "KRYS", "name": "Krystal Biotech Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.957, "architecture_energy": 24.429, "architecture_maturity": 88.467, "architecture_confidence": 91.09, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.29, "rotation_up": 28.27, "upward_expansion": 63.84, "deceleration": 88.31, "rotation_down": 27.44, "downward_expansion": 16.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 338.522, 346.19, 330.446952, 314.383935 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 326.45, "trend_reference": 297.381333, "distance_from_trend": 0.097749, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 187.929615, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.737087, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.576974, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.196927, "excess_performance": 0.009474, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.097749, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144091, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.737087, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060586, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.13577, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113807, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.196927, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.815005, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2397555, "relative_activity": 1.319226, "balance": 0.815005, "dry_up": 1.785679, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093639, "annualized_volatility": 0.360777, "from_high_reference": -0.146614, "from_low_reference": 1.387552 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 297.381333, "fair_value_reference": 187.929615, "structural_low": 242.0001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.038134, "positive_rate": 0.592593, "directional_follow_through": 0.592593, "median_excess_return": 0.01196, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.26421, "worst_return": -0.173824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.032429, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.065046, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.512545, "worst_return": -0.127638, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.162674, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.090749, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.464138, "worst_return": -0.026912, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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348.432727, 325.10381, 309.204344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 341.12, "volume": 2104056, "typical_volume": 1783585.75, "trend": 295.213333, "fair_value": 186.599487, "relative_strength": 26.001046, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.249655, "energy": 36.825731, "activity_lines": [ 347.842, 349.023818, 328.697429, 312.368667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 326.45, "volume": 2397555, "typical_volume": 1817394.75, "trend": 297.381333, "fair_value": 187.929615, "relative_strength": 13.576974, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.957126, "energy": 24.429139, "activity_lines": [ 338.522, 346.19, 330.446952, 314.383935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }