{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bd0a2535-2631-4566-914d-c3e72032aab2", "symbol": "900921", "name": "Danhua Chemical Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 74.383, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 32.706, "architecture_energy": 42.876, "architecture_maturity": 6.732, "architecture_confidence": 92.42, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.68, "rotation_up": 70.67, "upward_expansion": 45.88, "deceleration": 28.53, "rotation_down": 14.06, "downward_expansion": 18.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.1842, 0.176309, 0.172648, 0.175194 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.188, "trend_reference": 0.1775, "distance_from_trend": 0.059155, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.146929, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279525, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.11702, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.027322, "excess_performance": 0.070526, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059155, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005045, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.279525, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105044, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.05117, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.136736, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.027322, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.770519, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4098818, "relative_activity": 0.806821, "balance": 2.770519, "dry_up": 1.594056, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057692, "annualized_volatility": 0.397784, "from_high_reference": -0.168142, "from_low_reference": 0.342857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1775, "fair_value_reference": 0.146929, "structural_low": 0.154, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.032407, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.003181, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.196721, "worst_return": -0.104712, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.03125, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.002375, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.065574, "worst_return": -0.146597, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.068757, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.068606, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.090164, "worst_return": -0.227679, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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0.166733, 0.165127, 0.169329, 0.173011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.181, "volume": 9207492, "typical_volume": 5552969.4, "trend": 0.175633, "fair_value": 0.146385, "relative_strength": 5.376612, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.115463, "energy": 15.606595, "activity_lines": [ 0.172067, 0.168, 0.169824, 0.173402 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.192, "volume": 10498963, "typical_volume": 5232488.45, "trend": 0.1766, "fair_value": 0.146673, "relative_strength": 10.753106, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.054803, "energy": 36.956401, "activity_lines": [ 0.179867, 0.172745, 0.1714, 0.174458 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.188, "volume": 4098818, "typical_volume": 5080205.05, "trend": 0.1775, "fair_value": 0.146929, "relative_strength": 5.11702, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.705581, "energy": 42.875748, "activity_lines": [ 0.1842, 0.176309, 0.172648, 0.175194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }