{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bd0f48da-ae4b-450e-b7d2-71f536b2ae4a", "symbol": "LEVEL", "name": "Nordic LEVEL Group AB (publ.)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.506, "architecture_energy": 41.163, "architecture_maturity": 74.53, "architecture_confidence": 64.938, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.19, "rotation_up": 26.71, "upward_expansion": 18.29, "deceleration": 63.94, "rotation_down": 39.26, "downward_expansion": 65.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.326067, 0.324582, 0.367033, 0.418406 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.325, "trend_reference": 0.482267, "distance_from_trend": -0.326099, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.674891, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.518441, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -45.778251, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.458333, "excess_performance": -0.519828, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.326099, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147838, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.518441, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.249812, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.457783, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.27181, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.458333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.389186, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 234821, "relative_activity": 0.27392, "balance": 0.389186, "dry_up": 0.407813, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.202019, "annualized_volatility": 0.77791, "from_high_reference": -0.681373, "from_low_reference": 0.136364 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.482267, "fair_value_reference": 0.674891, "structural_low": 0.286, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.059735, "positive_rate": 0.216216, "directional_follow_through": 0.783784, "median_excess_return": -0.042605, "regime_survival": 0.891892, "best_return": 0.659389, "worst_return": -0.358717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.113301, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.152518, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.076923, "worst_return": -0.448889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.140588, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.232612, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.086162, "worst_return": -0.567312, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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1040812.35, "trend": 0.507733, "fair_value": 0.685237, "relative_strength": -44.132065, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.973494, "energy": 52.089172, "activity_lines": [ 0.324667, 0.333782, 0.401543, 0.452323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.31, "volume": 600562, "typical_volume": 1060144.1, "trend": 0.4988, "fair_value": 0.681429, "relative_strength": -48.090009, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.537896, "energy": 53.478885, "activity_lines": [ 0.320733, 0.325091, 0.387362, 0.439566 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.337, "volume": 239847, "typical_volume": 1055152.55, "trend": 0.491167, "fair_value": 0.677833, "relative_strength": -43.548256, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.215109, "energy": 45.146148, "activity_lines": [ 0.326467, 0.324455, 0.377238, 0.429127 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.325, "volume": 234821, "typical_volume": 857260.4, "trend": 0.482267, "fair_value": 0.674891, "relative_strength": -45.778251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.505683, "energy": 41.163191, "activity_lines": [ 0.326067, 0.324582, 0.367033, 0.418406 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }