{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bd218677-68f7-4608-9283-c175fa352b99",
    "symbol": "EFIV",
    "name": "STATE STREET SPDR S&P 500 ESG ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 86.984,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.679,
    "architecture_energy": 57.502,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.252,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.099,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.97,
        "rotation_up": 56.81,
        "upward_expansion": 81.54,
        "deceleration": 63.83,
        "rotation_down": 25.58,
        "downward_expansion": 8.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        73.186,
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        71.896309,
        70.496463
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 75.41,
    "trend_reference": 68.951679,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.093664,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 56.177732,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.342347,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.776789,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.117735,
    "excess_performance": -0.00789,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093664,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034602,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.342347,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015149,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007768,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00388,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117735,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.710956,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 174504,
      "relative_activity": 0.722689,
      "balance": 0.710956,
      "dry_up": 1.975151,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023719,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.139618,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006719,
      "from_low_reference": 0.257588
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 68.951679,
      "fair_value_reference": 56.177732,
      "structural_low": 61.095,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.016021,
        "positive_rate": 0.818182,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.818182,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001217,
        "regime_survival": 0.848485,
        "best_return": 0.073837,
        "worst_return": -0.052174,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.916667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.916667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001362,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.120003,
        "worst_return": -0.056719,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.104408,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001329,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": 0.056477,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.014055,
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        "worst_return": 0.187309,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 0.520224,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 55.396934,
        "relative_strength": -0.187119,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 248849.65,
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        "fair_value": 55.58367,
        "relative_strength": -0.333539,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.573727,
        "energy": 49.04316,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 71.29,
        "volume": 111424,
        "typical_volume": 236976.8,
        "trend": 68.458874,
        "fair_value": 55.765224,
        "relative_strength": -0.231035,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.110767,
        "energy": 40.210268,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 72.7,
        "volume": 241771,
        "typical_volume": 236822.25,
        "trend": 68.674873,
        "fair_value": 55.962206,
        "relative_strength": 0.604389,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.494921,
        "energy": 43.61278,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.101333,
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          70.061939
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 75.41,
        "volume": 174504,
        "typical_volume": 241464.9,
        "trend": 68.951679,
        "fair_value": 56.177732,
        "relative_strength": 0.776789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.678744,
        "energy": 57.501883,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}