{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bd2cdf82-7550-474d-ad38-889e4e0c4acc", "symbol": "301200", "name": "Shenzhen Han's CNC Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 26.47, "architecture_energy": 27.218, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.46, "rotation_up": 21.13, "upward_expansion": 55.34, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 39.58, "downward_expansion": 21.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 265.37466, 288.511632, 275.242134, 250.056377 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 283.799988, "trend_reference": 217.210852, "distance_from_trend": 0.306564, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 80.587737, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.521627, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 66.053708, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.774464, "excess_performance": 0.767064, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.306564, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.393288, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.521627, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.385735, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.660537, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.191307, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.774464, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.569474, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21106205, "relative_activity": 1.014668, "balance": 2.569474, "dry_up": 1.009637, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.184478, "annualized_volatility": 0.79629, "from_high_reference": -0.276961, "from_low_reference": 3.112551 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 217.210852, "fair_value_reference": 80.587737, "structural_low": 136.500755, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.043353, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.002669, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.148948, "worst_return": -0.087832, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.24665, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.130904, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.499379, "worst_return": 0.0441, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.466956, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.352595, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.618706, "worst_return": 0.315207, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"activity_lines": [ 341.022666, 316.148543, 267.09777, 236.335958 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 256.299988, "volume": 19967031, "typical_volume": 20644767.5, "trend": 202.944184, "fair_value": 76.336742, "relative_strength": 67.284417, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.993928, "energy": 58.192316, "activity_lines": [ 315.537329, 309.974454, 269.666076, 240.084132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 260.339996, "volume": 24123142, "typical_volume": 20858627.85, "trend": 207.927117, "fair_value": 77.760772, "relative_strength": 64.939325, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.693694, "energy": 34.424461, "activity_lines": [ 292.778662, 303.279634, 272.141413, 243.787088 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 233.0, "volume": 18809848, "typical_volume": 20894772.2, "trend": 211.698883, "fair_value": 79.007504, "relative_strength": 46.786401, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.292302, "energy": 25.199591, "activity_lines": [ 266.01733, 290.904725, 271.472712, 245.404693 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 283.799988, "volume": 21106205, "typical_volume": 20801099.35, "trend": 217.210852, "fair_value": 80.587737, "relative_strength": 66.053708, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.470263, "energy": 27.217622, "activity_lines": [ 265.37466, 288.511632, 275.242134, 250.056377 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }