{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bd36b05e-3408-417a-a7c7-98541c9daf44", "symbol": "AOR", "name": "ISHARES CORE 60/40 BALANCED ALLOCATION ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 49.296, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.952, "architecture_energy": 41.9, "architecture_maturity": 53.73, "architecture_confidence": 56.524, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.88, "rotation_up": 44.92, "upward_expansion": 76.16, "deceleration": 67.68, "rotation_down": 26.81, "downward_expansion": 5.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 68.988, 68.879562, 68.521527, 67.85506 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 70.12, "trend_reference": 67.131455, "distance_from_trend": 0.044518, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 57.552813, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.218359, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.697621, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.055838, "excess_performance": -0.069787, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.044518, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022046, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.218359, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006715, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.046976, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007452, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.055838, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.16984, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1301829, "relative_activity": 0.807603, "balance": 1.16984, "dry_up": 0.927914, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017096, "annualized_volatility": 0.103999, "from_high_reference": -0.001282, "from_low_reference": 0.152641 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 67.131455, "fair_value_reference": 57.552813, "structural_low": 62.654692, 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"relative_strength": -3.706592, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.874693, "energy": 25.577887, "activity_lines": [ 68.506, 68.610888, 68.270581, 67.652735 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.12, "volume": 1301829, "typical_volume": 1611965.65, "trend": 67.131455, "fair_value": 57.552813, "relative_strength": -4.697621, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.95239, "energy": 41.900395, "activity_lines": [ 68.988, 68.879562, 68.521527, 67.85506 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }