{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bd412382-74df-456d-8276-05b9051c3744",
    "symbol": "BFSA",
    "name": "Befesa S.A.",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.392,
    "architecture_energy": 67.238,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.58,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.067,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.29,
        "rotation_up": 71.81,
        "upward_expansion": 86.89,
        "deceleration": 45.73,
        "rotation_down": 12.32,
        "downward_expansion": 15.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        35.096666,
        34.016703,
        33.690412,
        32.973122
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 36.0,
    "trend_reference": 32.149955,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.119753,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.384736,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.314601,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.150837,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.192219,
    "excess_performance": 0.12758,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119753,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066581,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.314601,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094869,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101508,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060459,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.192219,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.238386,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 287896,
      "relative_activity": 1.211033,
      "balance": 2.238386,
      "dry_up": 1.647673,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061492,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.393166,
      "from_high_reference": -0.02439,
      "from_low_reference": 0.41105
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.149955,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.384736,
      "structural_low": 25.843245,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.009952,
        "positive_rate": 0.45,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.45,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014362,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.102222,
        "worst_return": -0.167899,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "worst_return": -0.315516,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.520861,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 1.000544,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 267798.15,
        "trend": 31.298875,
        "fair_value": 27.304435,
        "relative_strength": 4.96478,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 22.983094,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 34.650002,
        "volume": 467522,
        "typical_volume": 256739.25,
        "trend": 31.532197,
        "fair_value": 27.328449,
        "relative_strength": 14.015543,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.276171,
        "energy": 24.440932,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.616667,
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          32.812035,
          32.278129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 35.099998,
        "volume": 329400,
        "typical_volume": 247410.75,
        "trend": 31.775338,
        "fair_value": 27.350241,
        "relative_strength": 13.651185,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.427416,
        "energy": 31.686388,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.556666,
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          33.107803,
          32.50831
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.95,
        "volume": 481972,
        "typical_volume": 243226.15,
        "trend": 31.970083,
        "fair_value": 27.364301,
        "relative_strength": 10.319342,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.636784,
        "energy": 52.63261,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.323333,
          33.586319,
          33.366487,
          32.713127
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 36.0,
        "volume": 287896,
        "typical_volume": 237727.7,
        "trend": 32.149955,
        "fair_value": 27.384736,
        "relative_strength": 10.150837,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.391711,
        "energy": 67.238408,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.096666,
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          32.973122
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}